Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 120 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

120 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 130 920 thousand No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.2 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 120 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
GREEN
11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
GREEN
12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
GREEN
13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.9
GREEN
16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.8
GREEN
16 12 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 <1000 people no people 14.6, 57.2 Yemen
GREEN
16 12 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 270000 people no people 14.6, 56.2 Yemen
GREEN
16 13 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 380000 people no people 14.7, 54.8 Yemen
GREEN
16 13 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 1.2 million people no people 14.8, 53.1 Yemen
GREEN
16 14 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 1.1 million people no people 15.6, 50 Yemen
GREEN
16 15 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.1, 48.6 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Itab, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (103 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 11 Oct 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 07:00 Itab Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Qishn Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Aylu Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 10:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Saqr Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.2
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 18:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 'Isa Town Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Ar Rifa Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Filim Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Behld Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Khawwari Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 07:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Safwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Jabal al Qawm Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Khawr Qatar  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 23:00 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Macanille Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Croto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Delemme Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 21:00 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Nocra Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Jimhil Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Sahelia Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 20:00 Gabbi Hu Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Khammasi Iran  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 'Arad Bahrain  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1