Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OSCAR-18
in Iceland, Ireland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands, Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Norway, Sweden
30 Oct 2018 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OSCAR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Iceland, Ireland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands, Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Norway, Sweden
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (01 Nov 11:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability -- (Iceland)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 27 Oct 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
        Green 2 27 Oct 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
        Green 3 27 Oct 2018 15:00 130 No people No people
        Green 4 27 Oct 2018 21:00 130 No people No people
        Green 5 28 Oct 2018 03:00 139 No people No people
        Green 6 28 Oct 2018 09:00 139 No people No people
        Green 7 28 Oct 2018 15:00 148 No people No people
        Green 8 28 Oct 2018 21:00 157 No people No people
        Green 9 29 Oct 2018 03:00 157 No people No people
        Green 10 29 Oct 2018 09:00 157 No people No people
        Green 11 29 Oct 2018 15:00 167 No people No people
        Green 12 29 Oct 2018 21:00 167 90 thousand No people United Kingdom, Faroe Islands
        Green 13 30 Oct 2018 03:00 167 130 thousand No people Iceland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 27 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26.7, -45.7
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 27.3, -47
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 27.3, -48.4
          GREEN
          		 4 27 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 26.9, -50.7
          GREEN
          		 5 28 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.7, -51.4
          GREEN
          		 6 28 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -52.6
          GREEN
          		 7 28 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.5, -53.8
          GREEN
          		 8 28 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 25.7, -55.5
          GREEN
          		 9 29 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 25.6, -57
          GREEN
          		 10 29 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25.7, -57.8
          GREEN
          		 11 29 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 25.8, -58.4
          GREEN
          		 12 29 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 26.5, -58.5
          GREEN
          		 13 30 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 27.4, -58.3
          GREEN
          		 13 30 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 28.8, -57.7
          GREEN
          		 13 31 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 31.5, -55.6
          GREEN
          		 13 31 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 35.3, -52.1
          GREEN
          		 13 01 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 40.1, -47.8
          GREEN
          		 13 02 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 49.1, -36.4
          GREEN
          		 13 03 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 130000 people 56.2, -22 Faroe Islands
          GREEN
          		 13 04 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 62.5, -9.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Cape Race, Canada. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2018 11:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (4 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 30 Oct 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2018 11:00 Cape Race Canada  0.1
          01 Nov 2018 11:00 Fermeuse Canada  0.1
          01 Nov 2018 11:00 Cappahayden Canada  0.1
          01 Nov 2018 11:00 Renews Canada  0.1