Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ALCIDE-18
Off-shore
10 Nov 2018 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ALCIDE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 185 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Nov 2018 00:00 167 Few people No people
        Green 2 06 Nov 2018 06:00 157 Few people No people
        Green 4 06 Nov 2018 12:00 139 Few people No people
        Green 5 07 Nov 2018 00:00 157 Few people No people
        Green 6 07 Nov 2018 06:00 157 Few people Few people
        Green 7 07 Nov 2018 12:00 176 Few people Few people
        Green 8 07 Nov 2018 18:00 176 Few people Few people
        Green 9 08 Nov 2018 00:00 185 Few people Few people
        Green 10 08 Nov 2018 06:00 185 Few people Few people
        Green 11 08 Nov 2018 12:00 176 Few people Few people
        Green 12 08 Nov 2018 18:00 176 Few people Few people
        Green 13 09 Nov 2018 00:00 167 Few people Few people
        Green 14 09 Nov 2018 06:00 148 Few people Few people
        Green 15 09 Nov 2018 12:00 130 Few people Few people
        Green 16 09 Nov 2018 18:00 120 Few people Few people
        Green 17 10 Nov 2018 00:00 111 Few people Few people
        Green 18 10 Nov 2018 06:00 111 Few people Few people
        Green 19 10 Nov 2018 12:00 102 Few people Few people
        Green 20 10 Nov 2018 18:00 93 Few people Few people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -8.8, 60.7
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -9.2, 60
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people -9.8, 58.3
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people -9.9, 57.5
          GREEN
          		 6 07 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people <1000 people -10.2, 56.9
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people -10.4, 56
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -10.8, 55.3
          GREEN
          		 9 08 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -11.2, 54.6
          GREEN
          		 10 08 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -11.6, 54.1
          GREEN
          		 11 08 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -12, 53.7
          GREEN
          		 12 08 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -12.3, 53.3
          GREEN
          		 13 09 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -12.7, 53
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -13, 53
          GREEN
          		 15 09 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -13.1, 53
          GREEN
          		 16 09 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -13.4, 53.1
          GREEN
          		 17 10 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -13.1, 52.8
          GREEN
          		 18 10 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -13, 52.8
          GREEN
          		 19 10 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -12.9, 52.7
          GREEN
          		 20 10 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -12.7, 52.5
          GREEN
          		 20 11 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -12.6, 52.4
          GREEN
          		 20 11 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -12.3, 52.3
          GREEN
          		 20 12 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -11.8, 52.1
          GREEN
          		 20 12 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -11.3, 51.9
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Saint James Anchorage Mauritius
          Agalaga Island Mauritius
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 06 Nov 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)