Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENNY-18
in Australia, Papua New Guinea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PENNY-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Australia, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 102 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 120 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

102 km/h Current

Up to 330000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 102 330 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 18000 people no people -12.8, 139.6 Australia
GREEN
1 31 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 23000 people no people -12.7, 140.4 Australia
GREEN
1 01 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 53000 people no people -13.1, 141.7 Australia
GREEN
1 01 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 260000 people no people -13.5, 143.4 Australia
GREEN
1 02 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 320000 people no people -13.9, 145.3 Papua New Guinea
GREEN
1 03 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 160000 people no people -15, 149.9 Papua New Guinea
GREEN
1 04 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.8, 153.5
GREEN
1 05 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.3, 152.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Australia
Papua New Guinea

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Queensland Australia 3.1 million people
Central Papua New Guinea 230000 people
Milne Bay Papua New Guinea 160000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Weipa Queensland Australia City - 249 km
Cooktown Queensland Australia City - 678 km
Mareeba Queensland Australia City 8300 people 779 km
Atherton Queensland Australia City 6900 people 802 km
Cairns Queensland Australia Major city 150000 people 806 km
Gordonvale Queensland Australia City - 817 km
Innisfail Queensland Australia City 10000 people 866 km
Tully Queensland Australia City - 885 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Beagle Bay BEE unknown 0 218 km
Aurukun AUU 9 Civ. Unpaved No 4100 238 km
Weipa WEI 19 Civ. Paved Yes 5300 253 km
Scherger 44 Mil. Paved No 10000 271 km
Agnew AGW unknown 0 286 km
Merluna MLV unknown 0 311 km
Pormpuraaw 3 Civ. Paved No 4400 318 km
Rokeby RKY unknown 0 340 km
Moreton MET unknown 0 344 km
Bamaga ABM 15 Civ. Paved Yes 5200 373 km
Kowanyama KWM 11 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4500 377 km
Thursday Island TIS 13 Civ. Paved Yes 4500 382 km
Rutland Plains RTP unknown 0 393 km
Coen CUQ 162 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3900 396 km
Mitchell River MXQ unknown 0 396 km
Batavia Downs BVW unknown 0 398 km
Lockhart River IRG 23 Civ. Paved Yes 4300 402 km
Kubin Island KUG unknown 0 403 km
Badu Island BDD unknown 0 403 km
St. Paul's Mission SVM unknown 0 412 km
Mabuiag Island UBB unknown 0 424 km
Inkerman IKP unknown 0 433 km
Silver Plains SSP unknown 0 447 km
Koolatah KOH unknown 0 464 km
Musgrave MVU unknown 0 467 km
Dunbar DNB unknown 0 473 km
Dorunda Station DRD unknown 0 508 km
Dixie DXD unknown 0 511 km
Drumduff DFP unknown 0 512 km
Vanrook VNR unknown 0 514 km
Yorke Islands OKR 3 0 535 km
Kalpowar KPP unknown 0 550 km
Highbury HIG unknown 0 555 km
Koolburra KKP unknown 0 561 km
Lakefield LFP unknown 0 563 km
Bulimba BIP unknown 0 581 km
Murray Islands MYI unknown 0 582 km
Laura LUU unknown 0 586 km
Gamboola GBP unknown 0 603 km
Bizant BZP unknown 0 606 km
Hope Vale HPE unknown 0 611 km
Greenvale Miner Lake GVP unknown 0 634 km
Laura Station LUT unknown 0 634 km
Wrotham Park WPK unknown 0 636 km
Abingdon ABG unknown 0 663 km
Lizard Island LZR 21 0 666 km
Cooktown CTN 8 Civ. Paved Yes 5300 670 km
Torwood TWP unknown 0 674 km
Helenvale HLV unknown 0 683 km
Bolwarra BCK unknown 0 707 km
Bloomfield BFC unknown 0 707 km
Chillagoe LLG 338 Civ. Paved No 3000 715 km
Port Douglas PTI unknown 0 751 km
Mareeba MRG 475 Civ. Paved Yes 4900 784 km
Undarra UDA unknown 0 802 km
Cairns CNS 3 Civ. Paved Yes 10400 802 km
Innisfail IFL 14 Civ. Paved Yes 3000 867 km
Dunk Island Township DKI unknown 0 905 km
Hinchinbrook Island HNK unknown 0 946 km
Orpheus Island Resort Waterport ORS unknown 0 980 km
Kupiano KUP unknown 0 988 km
Palm Island PMK 9 Civ. Paved Yes 3700 997 km
Cape Rodney CPN 5 0 999 km
Abau ABW unknown 0 1034 km
Amazon Bay AZB unknown 0 1097 km
Doini DOI unknown 0 1233 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Weipa AUWEI Coral Sea Islands 248 km
Thursday Island AUTIS Coral Sea Islands 382 km
Cape York Coral Sea Islands 393 km
Port Stewart Coral Sea Islands 464 km
Cape Flattery AUCQP Coral Sea Islands 666 km
Cooktown AUCTN Coral Sea Islands 676 km
Port Souglas Coral Sea Islands 752 km
Cairns AUCNS Coral Sea Islands 804 km
Innisfail Coral Sea Islands 867 km
Mourilyan AUMOU Coral Sea Islands 879 km
Lucinda AULUC Coral Sea Islands 960 km
Kupiano Papua New Guinea 972 km
Abau PGABW Papua New Guinea 1040 km
Samarai PGSQT Papua New Guinea 1229 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Tinaroo Falls Barron 1958 801 km
Koombooloomba Tully 1961 852 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Weipa, Australia. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (214 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 31 Dec 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Weipa Australia  1.3
01 Jan 2019 00:00 Weipa South Australia  1.3
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Mapoon Australia  1.3
01 Jan 2019 03:00 Port Kennedy Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 03:00 Hammond I Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 03:00 Seisia Australia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Tamarike Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Sarire Indonesia  1.1
01 Jan 2019 03:00 Cowel Creek Australia  1.1
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kumbe Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 03:00 Cape York Australia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Merauke Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 14:00 Urum Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Badu Australia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 14:00 Wendu Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 14:00 Matara Indonesia  1.0
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  1.0
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  1.0
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Anansai Indonesia  1.0
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.9
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.9
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.8
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Birab Indonesia  0.8
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.8
31 Dec 2018 23:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.8
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Per Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Jow Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Welab Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.7
31 Dec 2018 07:00 Agats Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 22:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.6
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Saibai Australia  0.6
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.6
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.6
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.6
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Tor Indonesia  0.6
31 Dec 2018 21:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.5
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Running Creek Australia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 04:00 Alyangula Australia  0.5
31 Dec 2018 09:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2019 09:00 Halifax Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 19:00 Wan Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.4
01 Jan 2019 08:00 Aloszville Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Timuka Indonesia  0.4
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.4
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Mimako Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 09:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Cassady Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Lucinda Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amar Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.3
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 17:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 17:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Uta Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Wakia Indonesia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 16:00 Midgeton Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Mossman Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Miallo Australia  0.3
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Wonga Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 05:00 Ok Village Australia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 21:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.3
03 Jan 2019 21:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.3
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Umuk Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 17:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 17:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Kipia Maparpa Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 10:00 Paraoka Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 18:00 Elim Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 07:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 12:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 10:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 15:00 Alva Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 21:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 21:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 20:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 12:00 Masian Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 19:00 Cooktown Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 08:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 09:00 Kamma Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 05:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 23:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 13:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 13:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
02 Jan 2019 13:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Aiduna Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Umari Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Longar Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 13:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Basada Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 12:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 15:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 15:00 Pono Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 18:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 23:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 23:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 22:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 22:00 Ayton Australia  0.2
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Krai Indonesia  0.2
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Komfane Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sege Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 14:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 14:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Potawai Indonesia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 15:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 17:00 Gove Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 16:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Marlasi Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Masidan Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 13:00 Doka Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 22:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Farnborough Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Emu Park Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Townsville Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Cluden Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Moha Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 14:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 11:00 Goemsei Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 22:00 Tarera Indonesia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Delta Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
04 Jan 2019 00:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 11:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
31 Dec 2018 14:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 07:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 21:00 Mohitien Indonesia  0.1
01 Jan 2019 17:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 01:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Jan 2019 08:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1