Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RILEY-19
in Australia
29 Jan 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone RILEY-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (24 Jan 19:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 23 Jan 2019 18:00 157 Few people No people Australia
        Green 2 24 Jan 2019 00:00 148 Few people No people Australia
        Green 3 24 Jan 2019 06:00 139 Few people No people Australia
        Green 4 24 Jan 2019 12:00 139 Few people No people Australia
        Green 5 24 Jan 2019 18:00 120 Few people No people Australia
        Green 6 25 Jan 2019 00:00 120 Few people No people Australia
        Green 7 25 Jan 2019 06:00 120 Few people No people Australia
        Green 8 25 Jan 2019 12:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 9 25 Jan 2019 18:00 139 Few people No people Australia
        Green 10 26 Jan 2019 00:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 11 26 Jan 2019 06:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 12 26 Jan 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Australia
        Green 13 26 Jan 2019 18:00 111 Few people No people Australia
        Green 14 27 Jan 2019 00:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 15 27 Jan 2019 06:00 139 Few people No people Australia
        Green 16 27 Jan 2019 12:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 17 27 Jan 2019 18:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 18 28 Jan 2019 00:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 19 28 Jan 2019 06:00 130 Few people No people Australia
        Green 20 28 Jan 2019 12:00 111 Few people No people Australia
        Green 21 28 Jan 2019 18:00 93 Few people No people Australia
        Green 22 29 Jan 2019 00:00 74 Few people No people Australia
        Green 23 29 Jan 2019 06:00 65 Few people No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.5, 122.1
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17, 120.8
          GREEN
          		 3 24 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.1, 120.1
          GREEN
          		 4 24 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.2, 119.1
          GREEN
          		 5 24 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.2, 118.7
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -16.8, 118.8
          GREEN
          		 7 25 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -16.9, 118.2
          GREEN
          		 8 25 Jan 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -17, 117.5
          GREEN
          		 9 25 Jan 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17, 117.2
          GREEN
          		 10 26 Jan 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -16.9, 117.1
          GREEN
          		 11 26 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.5, 117.1
          GREEN
          		 12 26 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -17.7, 116.5
          GREEN
          		 13 26 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.8, 115.9
          GREEN
          		 14 27 Jan 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -17.8, 115.1
          GREEN
          		 15 27 Jan 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.6, 113.8
          GREEN
          		 16 27 Jan 2019 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.9, 112.9
          GREEN
          		 17 27 Jan 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18, 111.6
          GREEN
          		 18 28 Jan 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18, 110.6
          GREEN
          		 19 28 Jan 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -18.4, 109.6
          GREEN
          		 20 28 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -18.4, 108.9
          GREEN
          		 21 28 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.6, 107.9
          GREEN
          		 22 29 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.7, 107.5
          GREEN
          		 23 29 Jan 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -19.2, 106.3
          GREEN
          		 23 29 Jan 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -19.9, 104.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cossack Pioneer AUCOP Coral Sea Islands
          Beagle Bay Coral Sea Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.9 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Jan 2019 19:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (26 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of 29 Jan 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Jan 2019 19:00 Derby Australia  0.9
          24 Jan 2019 18:00 Pender Australia  0.5
          26 Jan 2019 23:00 Wickham Australia  0.5
          26 Jan 2019 23:00 Point Samson Australia  0.5
          26 Jan 2019 23:00 Cossack Australia  0.5
          27 Jan 2019 02:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.4
          24 Jan 2019 12:00 Kollan I Australia  0.4
          25 Jan 2019 13:00 Condon Australia  0.4
          27 Jan 2019 04:00 Mardie Australia  0.4
          27 Jan 2019 01:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.4
          25 Jan 2019 00:00 Broome Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Parap Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 08:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
          25 Jan 2019 00:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
          25 Jan 2019 00:00 Waterbank Australia  0.3
          25 Jan 2019 14:00 Thangoo Australia  0.3
          24 Jan 2019 09:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2
          29 Jan 2019 07:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
          27 Jan 2019 17:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
          27 Jan 2019 17:00 Exmouth Australia  0.2
          24 Jan 2019 09:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1