Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (13 Mar 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 222 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

213 km/h Current

Up to 860000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 100000 people no people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
GREEN
1 09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 100000 people no people -17.1, 40.9 Mozambique
GREEN
1 10 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17.3, 41.5 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
GREEN
1 10 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.6, 41.8 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
GREEN
1 11 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 190000 people no people -17.9, 41.4 Mozambique
GREEN
1 12 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 204 2.1 million people no people -18.3, 39.8 Mozambique
ORANGE
1 13 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 6 million people 860000 people -18.8, 37.4 Mozambique
GREEN
1 14 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -19.3, 34.1 Mozambique
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Zambezia Mozambique 3.4 million people
Sofala Mozambique 1.4 million people
Manica Mozambique 870000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Chinde INE unknown 0 441 km
Luabo LBM unknown 0 459 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Vila Do Chinde Mozambique 428 km
Chinde MZINE Mozambique 434 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Bue Maria Pungoe -99 636 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 13 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (121 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 09 Mar 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.6
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.6
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Beira Mozambique  0.5
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.5
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Baly Madagascar  0.5
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.4
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Barra Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.4
13 Mar 2019 06:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 02:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 02:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1