Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LEKIMA-19
in , China, Japan
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries , China, Japan
Exposed population 7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.8 m (10 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 185 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 13.8 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 130 12.5 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 148 24.1 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 167 34.7 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 176 99.1 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 167 98.6 million 50 thousand Japan
Orange 6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 120 220.9 million 10.7 million China
Green 7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 102 229.4 million No people Japan, China
Orange 8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 120 307.3 million 4.5 million China
Orange 9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 239.8 million 9.7 million China
Orange 10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 206.5 million 10.8 million China
Orange 11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 167 254.5 million 18.4 million China
Red 12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 185 209.7 million 13.9 million Japan, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.1, 131.6
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.5, 131.3
GREEN
3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, 131.4
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, 130.4
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.8, 130.1
GREEN
6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.1, 129.7
GREEN
7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.7, 129.4
GREEN
8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.6, 129
GREEN
9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.8, 129.1
GREEN
10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.1, 129
GREEN
11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.7, 128.5
GREEN
12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.5, 128.2
GREEN
12 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 130000 people no people 20.3, 127.1 Philippines
GREEN
12 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 23.4 million people no people 21.3, 125.8 China
GREEN
12 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 61.2 million people 2100 people 22.5, 124.5 Japan
RED
12 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 118.8 million people 9.1 million people 23.7, 123.1 China
ORANGE
12 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 187.5 million people 4.8 million people 25.9, 121.4 China
GREEN
12 10 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 168.8 million people no people 28.5, 121.7 China
GREEN
12 11 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.1, 122.6 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people
Taiwan China 22.4 million people
Zhejiang China 45.9 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Nan-ao I-lan Taiwan City -
Su-ao I-lan Taiwan City -
I-lan I-lan Taiwan Major city -
Tou-cheng I-lan Taiwan City -
Chi-lung Chi-lung Shih Taiwan City 390000 people
Hsin-tien T'ai-pei Chuan-Shih Taiwan City -
Taipei T'ai-pei Chuan-Shih Taiwan Capital 2.5 million people
Pan-ch'iao T'ai-pei Taiwan Major city -
Tao-yüan T'ao-yuan Taiwan Major city -
Tan-shui T'ai-pei Chuan-Shih Taiwan City -
Chung-li T'ao-yuan Taiwan City -
San-chih T'ai-pei Taiwan City -
Songmen Zhejiang China City -
Chumen Zhejiang China City -
Wenling Zhejiang China City 67000 people
Xinhe Zhejiang China City -
Qingjiang Zhejiang China City -
Zeguo Zhejiang China City -
Dajing Zhejiang China City -
Jiaojiang Zhejiang China City 460000 people
Qiansuo Zhejiang China City -
Huangyan Zhejiang China City 140000 people
Taozhu Zhejiang China City -
Lipu Zhejiang China City -
Huaqiao Zhejiang China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hateruma HTR unknown 0
Yonaguni OGN 21 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
9 0
Sungshan TSA 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
Pa Kuei 141 0
Highway Strip 58 60 120 0
Taoyuan 45 Mil. Paved No 10000
Chiang Kai Shek International TPE 33 Civ. Paved Yes 12000
Luqiaq HYN 9 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Suao TWSUO Taiwan
Keelung (Chilung) TWKEL Taiwan
Tan Shui Taiwan
Kan Men Chiang China
Haimen CNHME China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Human Trib. Jiao Jiang -99
Taihu Trib. Jiao Jiang 1962
Xikou Trib. Jiao Jiang -99

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in San-chia-shih, China. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (774 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 30 of 11 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

No content available ..