Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LEKIMA-19
in , China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries , China, Japan
Exposed population 7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Aug 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 241 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 99000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 130 12.5 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 148 24.1 million 100 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.1, 131.6
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.5, 131.3
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.5, 131.1
GREEN
2 05 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18, 130.8
GREEN
2 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.6, 130.4
GREEN
2 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.2, 129.9
GREEN
2 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 2.9 million people no people 20.1, 128.8 China
GREEN
2 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 24.1 million people 99000 people 22.8, 126.1 Japan
GREEN
2 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 25.3, 124.6 Japan
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 45000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hirara MMY 45 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Shimojishima SHI 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
9 0
Ishigaki ISG 26 Civ. Paved Yes 4900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Myako Island Japan
Hirara Japan
Ishigaki Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sokobaru Sokobaru Sokobarugawa 1992
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Wright, Philippines. This height is estimated for 04 Aug 2019 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (223 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 04 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 San Shah China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guhuai China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chang-chiang China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-feng China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guanjing China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Qingfeng China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Sugama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hirara Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shiokawa Japan  0.2
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
04 Aug 2019 21:00 San Andres Philippines  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dinggang China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ancheng China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chengpu China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Songxia China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Houtian China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Langqi China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Tantou China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Yunlong China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fengwo China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Sansha China  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ichimasui Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Karimata Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Arasato Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Bora Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shirafu Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fubai Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ibarama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hirano Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Kuninaka Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2019 07:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Wuhang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Pingtan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Mabi China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Beicuo China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Changchun China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Luxia China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dalu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Agarisuji Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ishigaki Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dingqiao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chaoyang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Huangwan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ganpu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Linshan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Baisheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Cao Yu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Anhai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Songcheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Da'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Wuqu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Yacheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Lianhe China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Weitou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-ching China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhangban China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Wangchuan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsiao-tso China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gaoshan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fuye China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shacheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiaguan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Pucheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 I-shan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Beilong China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Nanri China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsia-mei China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shih-shih China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Yongning China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Lingmen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Aohuan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiahu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Sakiyama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hoshitate Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shirabaramitake Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Honai Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Toyohara Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Kobama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2019 03:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.1
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 San-chia-shih China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
04 Aug 2019 21:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Changchuanba China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Taipingzha China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Wantang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Tung-tai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guanban China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ting-hai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Qian'an China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dawu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chongwu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhongmen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Meizhou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Banping China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fugong China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gangwei China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xucuo China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gulangyu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Jiangtou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hecuo China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Liuwudian China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Aotou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dongsha China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Lingchuan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Daitou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Yakou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Dongyuan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Tung-ch'ung China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gexiang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Touyan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chenyu China  0.1
05 Aug 2019 03:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
05 Aug 2019 07:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Jiangjia China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Beiqigen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Beilungang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsiao-an-chieh China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ligang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-men Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Pinghai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fotan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Daomei China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shicheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guleitou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gangkou China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Jiuzhen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Liu'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shentu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chihu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Songyu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiamen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shijing China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Tung-shih China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shihu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Kanmen China  0.1
05 Aug 2019 08:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shigaotang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Daniwan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Sichalu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Atsuta Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fusozaki Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Henna Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Kin Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ishikawa Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiaoli'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Nan'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Fengwei China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 P'u-hsi China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chen-hai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 An-ting Taiwan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chendai China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsi-pu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Huqiu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Wutian China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gongqiancun China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chencheng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiabu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Longwan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Siqianjie China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Huanshan China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Songmen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hepu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Danmen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shihphu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Litang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Zhapu China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chou-chia-peng China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Guoju China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chumen China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Chien-chiang China  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Ohara Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Nakachi Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Nishime Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Nakadomari Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Gima Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2019 06:00 Shimajiri Japan  0.1