Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LEKIMA-19
in , China, Japan
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries , China, Japan
Exposed population 7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 167 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 50000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 130 12.5 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 148 24.1 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 167 34.7 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 176 99.1 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 167 98.6 million 50 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.1, 131.6
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.5, 131.3
GREEN
3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, 131.4
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, 130.4
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.8, 130.1
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19.2, 129.6
GREEN
5 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19.4, 129.2
GREEN
5 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.7, 128.8
GREEN
5 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 120000 people no people 20.5, 127.8 Japan
GREEN
5 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 20.7 million people 50000 people 22.5, 125.7 Japan
GREEN
5 09 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 139 97.9 million people 41000 people 24.7, 123.8 Japan
GREEN
5 10 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 27.9, 123
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 44000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Ishigaki ISG 26 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Hateruma HTR unknown 0
Iriomote Jima 12 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Ishigaki Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan
Irionote Island Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sokobaru Sokobaru Sokobarugawa 1992
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in San-chia-shih, China. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (774 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 30 of 11 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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