Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KROSA-19
in Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of
09 Aug 2019 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KROSA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Aug 06:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Japan)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 3 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 139 10 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 139 560 thousand 3 thousand Japan
        Green 6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 157 10 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 148 10 thousand Few people
        Green 8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 148 10 thousand 3 thousand
        Green 9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 157 10 thousand Few people
        Green 10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 148 50 thousand Few people Japan
        Green 11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 185 3 thousand Few people
        Green 12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 185 90 thousand Few people Japan
        Green 13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 176 3 thousand Few people
        Green 14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 167 2.3 million Few people Japan
        Green 15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 157 1.3 million No people Japan

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.1, 144.3
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.9, 143.7
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.6, 143.1
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19, 142.3
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.6, 142.1
          GREEN
          		 6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 20.6, 141.6
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.2, 141.3
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.6, 141.1
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people <1000 people 21.8, 140.8
          GREEN
          		 10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people 22, 140.5
          GREEN
          		 11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people <1000 people 22.1, 140.6
          GREEN
          		 12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 1100 people 22.2, 140.8
          GREEN
          		 13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 2 176 no people 1100 people 22, 141
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 1100 people 22, 141.1
          GREEN
          		 15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 1200 people 22, 141.2
          GREEN
          		 15 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 2700 people 22.5, 141.2
          GREEN
          		 15 10 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 2700 people 23, 141
          GREEN
          		 15 10 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 2800 people 23.3, 140.7
          GREEN
          		 15 11 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people 2800 people 24, 139.6
          GREEN
          		 15 12 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 2100 people 25.8, 136.8
          GREEN
          		 15 13 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 1.3 million people 27.6, 134.5 Japan
          GREEN
          		 15 14 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 29.9, 134.1
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2019 06:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (4 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 09 Aug 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Aug 2019 06:00 Higashi Japan  0.2
          10 Aug 2019 03:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.1
          10 Aug 2019 06:00 Oki Japan  0.1
          10 Aug 2019 06:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1