Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KROSA-19
in Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KROSA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Aug 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 230000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 139 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 139 560 thousand 3 thousand Japan
Green 6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 157 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 148 10 thousand Few people
Green 8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 148 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 157 10 thousand Few people
Green 10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 148 50 thousand Few people Japan
Green 11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 185 3 thousand Few people
Green 12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 185 90 thousand Few people Japan
Green 13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 176 3 thousand Few people
Green 14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 167 2.3 million Few people Japan
Green 15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 157 1.3 million No people Japan
Green 16 09 Aug 2019 12:00 157 3.3 million No people Japan
Green 17 09 Aug 2019 18:00 139 25.8 million 230 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.1, 144.3
GREEN
2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.9, 143.7
GREEN
3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.6, 143.1
GREEN
4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19, 142.3
GREEN
5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.6, 142.1
GREEN
6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 20.6, 141.6
GREEN
7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.2, 141.3
GREEN
8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.6, 141.1
GREEN
9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people <1000 people 21.8, 140.8
GREEN
10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people 22, 140.5
GREEN
11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people <1000 people 22.1, 140.6
GREEN
12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 1100 people 22.2, 140.8
GREEN
13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 2 176 no people 1100 people 22, 141
GREEN
14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 1100 people 22, 141.1
GREEN
15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 1200 people 22, 141.2
GREEN
16 09 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 2700 people 22.2, 141.4
GREEN
17 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 2800 people 22.3, 141.4
GREEN
17 10 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 no people 2800 people 22.8, 141.1
GREEN
17 10 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 2800 people 23.2, 140.5
GREEN
17 11 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2800 people 23.7, 139.6
GREEN
17 11 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 4800 people 24.4, 138.2
GREEN
17 12 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 1.8 million people 26.3, 135.5 Japan
GREEN
17 13 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 230000 people 25.8 million people 28.5, 133.7 Japan
GREEN
17 14 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 31.1, 132.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kyushu Japan

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Jogasaki Miyazaki Japan City -
Miyazaki Miyazaki Japan Major city 310000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Miyazaki KMI 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Aburatsu JPABU Japan
Uchiumi Japan
Miyazaki JPKMI Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sakataniko Nichinan Sakatanigawa 1984

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2019 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (117 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 09 Aug 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Aug 2019 11:00 Higashi Japan  0.2
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2019 11:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.2
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kisaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 09:00 Oki Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 09:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Sakai Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Takesaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hirayama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hirota Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hamada Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Osaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Niinauri Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Meitsu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Aburatsu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Karijuku Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Takanabe Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Uwae Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 09:00 Omura Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 09:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2019 09:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kaminaka Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Miza Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Onasu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hayama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Takabo Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Udo Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Sakibaru Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Setaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kinoko Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Koshima Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nishiakina Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Itokina Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Ushino Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shimo-Nishime Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nishino Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Mitariyama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Fukagawa Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hamatsuwaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Takenokawa Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Makigawa Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Takeyano Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Jusamban Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nijuban Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nakayama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Jurokuban Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kurazami Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nishinoomote Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Masuda Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kerisaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Komakino Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Osaki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Yakenota Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Ikenohira Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kunigami Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kunikami Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Anjo Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Tachiyama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Ono Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Azako Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Minato Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nakamura Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Ambo Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Tomai Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Higashi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Igatan Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Funayuki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hedono Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Asama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Okamae Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Matsubara Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Araki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Uekatsu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Akatsure Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Urabaru Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Aden Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Somachi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shitooke Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Manya Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Sakibaru Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kasari Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Usuku Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shimonaka Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shimama Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Noma Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Odaira Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Yanagihara Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Guniwa Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Anno Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Iseki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shoiiura Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Hirauchi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kojima Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Onoaida Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Haro Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Mugyu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Honjo Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Izashiki Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Buzen Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Imazu Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kanda Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Shibushi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Tsuno Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Taina Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Nobeoka Japan  0.1
13 Aug 2019 18:00 Kaseda Japan  0.1