Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
25 Aug 2019 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (27 Aug 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11.2, -52
          GREEN
          		 3 26 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -54.1
          GREEN
          		 3 26 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, -56.2
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 890000 people 13.2, -58.2 Dominica
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15, -62.3
          GREEN
          		 3 29 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 8 million people 17, -66.5 Dominican Republic
          GREEN
          		 3 30 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 19, -70 Dominican Republic
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Hyacinthe, Martinique. This height is estimated for 27 Aug 2019 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (48 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 25 Aug 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.3
          27 Aug 2019 18:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 15:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 17:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 15:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 19:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 15:00 Macapa Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Tuque Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Amalia Marin Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Santa Cruz Puerto Rico  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 15:00 Santa Julia do Jurupari Brazil  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 14:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 19:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 15:00 Foz do Macacoari Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 16:00 Lero Martinique  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 15:00 Ponta Curua Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Quinta Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Tallaboa Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Guaypao Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 15:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 15:00 Limao Brazil  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Ponce Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Altavista Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Calzada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 02:00 Central Aguirre Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.1