Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
25 Aug 2019 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Aug 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 11.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
        Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.8, -55.9
          GREEN
          		 6 26 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 290000 people 12.4, -58.2 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 310000 people 13.1, -60.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -62.3
          GREEN
          		 6 28 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 6.5 million people 16.4, -66.4 Dominican Republic
          ORANGE
          		 6 29 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 10.7 million people 18.5, -70 Haiti
          GREEN
          		 6 30 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.5, -73 Haiti
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Barbados
          St. Lucia
          St. Vincent & the Grenadines
          Dominican Republic
          Haiti

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Barbados Barbados
          St. Lucia Saint Lucia
          St. Vincent & the Grenadines Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          La Altagracia Dominican Republic
          La Romana Dominican Republic
          El Seibo Dominican Republic
          San Pedro de Macor¡s Dominican Republic
          Hato Major Dominican Republic
          Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic
          Samana Dominican Republic
          Monte Plata Dominican Republic
          Santo Domingo Dominican Republic
          San Cristobal Dominican Republic
          Duarte Dominican Republic
          Peravia Dominican Republic
          Maria Trinidad S Dominican Republic
          Sanchez Ramirez Dominican Republic
          Monsenor Novel Dominican Republic
          Azua Dominican Republic
          La Vega Dominican Republic
          Espaillat Dominican Republic
          Salcedo Dominican Republic
          Barahona Dominican Republic
          Puerto Plata Dominican Republic
          Santiago Dominican Republic
          San Juan Dominican Republic
          Baoruco Dominican Republic
          Valverde Dominican Republic
          Santiago Rodrigu Dominican Republic
          La Estrelleta Dominican Republic
          Monte Cristi Dominican Republic
          Centre Haiti
          Dajabon Dominican Republic
          Nord-Est Haiti
          Artibonite Haiti
          Nord Haiti
          Nord-Ouest Haiti

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 97000 people
          Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 13000 people
          Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 18000 people
          Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people
          La Romana La Romana Dominican Republic City 210000 people
          El Seibo El Seíbo Dominican Republic City 23000 people
          San Pedro de Macorís San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 160000 people
          Consuelo San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 27000 people
          Hato Mayor Hato Major Dominican Republic City 36000 people
          Boca Chica Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
          El Valle Hato Major Dominican Republic City -
          Andrés Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
          Santo Domingo Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic Capital 2.2 million people
          Monte Plata Monte Plata Dominican Republic City 15000 people
          Bajos de Haina San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 67000 people
          San Cristóbal San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 110000 people
          Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 58000 people
          Cotuí Sánchez Ramírez Dominican Republic City 53000 people
          Pimentel Duarte Dominican Republic City 9500 people
          San José de Ocoa San José de Ocoa Dominican Republic City -
          Bonao Monsenor Novel Dominican Republic City 73000 people
          San Francisco de Macorís Duarte Dominican Republic City 130000 people
          Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
          La Vega La Vega Dominican Republic City 100000 people
          Constanza La Vega Dominican Republic City 29000 people
          Moca Espaillat Dominican Republic City 62000 people
          Santiago Santiago Dominican Republic City 550000 people
          San Juan San Juan Dominican Republic City -
          Imbert Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 7900 people
          Mao Valverde Dominican Republic City 47000 people
          Santiago Rodríguez Santiago Rodríguez Dominican Republic City -
          Lucas Evangelista de Peña Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City -
          Loma de Cabrera Dajabón Dominican Republic City 6600 people
          Dajabón Dajabón Dominican Republic City 16000 people
          Quanaminthe Nord-Est Haiti City -
          Monte Cristi Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 17000 people
          Pepillo Salcedo Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 3800 people
          Cap-Haïtien Nord Haiti City 120000 people
          Limbé Nord Haiti City 32000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Grantley Adams International BGI 52 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
          Hewanorra International UVF 3 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          E T Joshua SVD 20 Civ. Paved Yes 4600
          J F Mitchell 4 Civ. Paved No 3600
          Vigie SLU 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6200
          La Romana LRM 8 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
          De Las Americas International SDQ 18 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
          San Isidro AB 34 Mil. Paved No 7000
          Herrera HEX 66 Civ. Paved Yes 4100
          Angelina Cotui 54 0
          Constanza COZ 1198 Civ. Paved No 5300
          Santiago Municipal STI 182 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
          San Juan de la M. SJM unknown 0
          Dajabon 63 Civ. Unpaved No 5500
          Cap Haitien CAP 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
          Port-de-Paix PAX unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Bridgetown BBBGI Barbados
          Speightstown Barbados
          Vieux Fort Saint Lucia
          Admiralty Bay Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Kingstown VCKTN Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Castries LCSLU Saint Lucia
          Cul de Sac Bay LCCDS Saint Lucia
          Mona Island PROIS Puerto Rico
          La Romana DOLRM Dominican Republic
          San Pedro de Macoris DOSPM Dominican Republic
          Boca Chica DOBCC Dominican Republic
          Santo Domingo DOSDQ Dominican Republic
          Rio Haina DOHAI Dominican Republic
          Palenque DOPAL Dominican Republic
          Las Calderas Dominican Republic
          Puerto Viejo de Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
          Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
          Puerto Viejo de Azua Dominican Republic
          Manzanillo DOMAN Dominican Republic
          Fort Liberte HTFLI Haiti
          Cap Haitien HTCAP Haiti
          Port de Paiz Haiti

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Las Barias Nizao n/a
          Valdesia Nizao 1975
          Jiguey Nizao 1992
          Hatillo Yuna 1984
          Rincon Jima 1978
          Tavera Yaque del Norte 1974
          Bao Bao 1985
          Sabana Yegua Yaque del Sur 1978
          Sabaneta San Juan 1981
          Moncion Mao n/a
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Pedro de Macoris, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (37 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 25 Aug 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 San Pedro de Macoris Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 16:00 Boca Chica Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 18:00 Santo Domingo Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 10:00 Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 18:00 Bajos de Haina Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 14:00 La Romana Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 17:00 El Paredon Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 13:00 Bahahibe Dominican Republic  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 15:00 El Soco Dominican Republic  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Kingstown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Chateaubelair St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 10:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 16:00 Andres Dominican Republic  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 17:00 Macapa Brazil  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 17:00 Santa Julia do Jurupari Brazil  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 18:00 La Playa Dominican Republic  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 16:00 Foz do Macacoari Brazil  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 10:00 La Palmilla Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 12:00 Boca de Yuma Dominican Republic  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 14:00 Cumayasa Dominican Republic  0.1
          26 Aug 2019 16:00 Ponta Curua Brazil  0.1