Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LORENA-19
in Mexico
19 Sep 2019 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LORENA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 370 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 240000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 102 290 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 102 1.2 million No people Mexico
        Green 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 111 710 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 120 740 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 130 1.9 million 70 thousand Mexico
        Green 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 157 830 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 148 1.6 million 20 thousand Mexico
        Orange 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 120 2.5 million 120 thousand Mexico
        Green 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 148 2.5 million 120 thousand Mexico
        Orange 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 130 2.5 million 240 thousand Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.3, -99.6
          GREEN
          		 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.1, -100.8
          GREEN
          		 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.7, -101.7
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.7, -102.6
          GREEN
          		 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 890000 people 17, -103.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 590000 people 17.6, -104 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 17000 people 1.3 million people 18.3, -104.4 Mexico
          ORANGE
          		 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 110000 people 1.6 million people 19.3, -104.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 13000 people 760000 people 20.2, -105.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 6400 people 21.4, -106.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 20 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 89000 people 310000 people 22.4, -108.3 Mexico
          ORANGE
          		 10 20 Sep 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 120000 people 570000 people 22.8, -109.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 21 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 1 130 <1000 people 340000 people 23.5, -111.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 21 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 110000 people 24.4, -112.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 22 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 48000 people 27, -114.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 23 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 29, -115.5 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Jalisco Mexico
          Colima Mexico
          Baja California Sur Mexico

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Gloria 34 0
          Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Cabo San Lucas 139 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ipala Mexico
          El Tabaco Mexico
          Chamela Mexico
          San Lucas Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.