Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPHAN-20
in India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
16 May 2020 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone AMPHAN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2020-000137-BGD
    Exposed countries India, Bangladesh, Bhutan
    Exposed population 33.8 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (20 May 06:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
    For more info on GDACS core click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 2.4 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 269 km/h 2.4 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 65.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Red 1 16 May 2020 06:00 167 243.2 million 65.9 million India, Bangladesh

        Bulletin Timeline

          Level N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 16 May 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.8, 86.4
          GREEN
          		 1 16 May 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 10.5, 86.4
          GREEN
          		 1 17 May 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 11.7, 86.5
          GREEN
          		 1 17 May 2020 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 12.9, 86.5
          GREEN
          		 1 18 May 2020 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 8.3 million people 14.2, 86.6 India
          RED
          		 1 19 May 2020 06:00 Category 2 167 5.9 million people 227.9 million people 17.6, 87.8 Bangladesh
          ORANGE
          		 1 20 May 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 65.8 million people 231.5 million people 21.8, 89.2 India
          GREEN
          		 1 21 May 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 24.8, 90.6 Bangladesh
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Source: GADM and GHSL

          Provinces

          Source: GADM and GHSL

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.