Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GONZALO-20
in Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONZALO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (25 Jul 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Trinidad & Tobago)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 102 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

130 km/h Current

Up to 16000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 21 Jul 2020 21:00 102 170 thousand No people Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada
Green 2 22 Jul 2020 03:00 102 180 thousand No people Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada
Green 3 22 Jul 2020 09:00 102 180 thousand No people Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada
Green 4 22 Jul 2020 15:00 130 170 thousand No people Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada
Green 5 22 Jul 2020 21:00 130 240 thousand No people Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
Green 6 23 Jul 2020 03:00 139 470 thousand 8 thousand Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
Green 7 23 Jul 2020 09:00 139 530 thousand 8 thousand Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
Green 8 23 Jul 2020 15:00 130 210 thousand 20 thousand Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 21 Jul 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.8, -40.4
GREEN
2 22 Jul 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10, -41.3
GREEN
3 22 Jul 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10, -42.4
GREEN
4 22 Jul 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9.9, -43.6
GREEN
5 22 Jul 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9.9, -45
GREEN
6 23 Jul 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.9, -45.9
GREEN
7 23 Jul 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10, -47
GREEN
8 23 Jul 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 9.6, -48.3
GREEN
8 24 Jul 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 9.8, -50
GREEN
8 24 Jul 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.1, -52.7
GREEN
8 25 Jul 2020 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.5, -55.7
GREEN
8 25 Jul 2020 12:00 Category 1 130 210000 people 16000 people 11.2, -59 Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN
8 26 Jul 2020 00:00 Category 1 130 100000 people no people 11.9, -62.3 Grenada
GREEN
8 26 Jul 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.6, -65.4
GREEN
8 27 Jul 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14, -71.4
GREEN
8 28 Jul 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.5, -77.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Trinidad & Tobago
Grenada

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad and Tobago 1.2 million people
Grenada Grenada 95000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Point Salines International GND 12 Civ. Paved Yes 9000

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Salibea, Trinidad and Tobago. This height is estimated for 25 Jul 2020 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (13 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 25 Jul 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Jul 2020 17:00 Salibea Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
25 Jul 2020 17:00 Rampanalgas Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
26 Jul 2020 01:00 Paraguchi Venezuela  0.2
25 Jul 2020 16:00 Saint Joseph Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
25 Jul 2020 16:00 Lower Fishing Pond Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
26 Jul 2020 01:00 Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
25 Jul 2020 16:00 Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
25 Jul 2020 23:00 San Juan de las Galdonas Venezuela  0.1
25 Jul 2020 23:00 Puerto Santo Venezuela  0.1
25 Jul 2020 16:00 Redhead Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
25 Jul 2020 19:00 La Retraite Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
25 Jul 2020 18:00 Cacandee Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
26 Jul 2020 01:00 Manzanillo Venezuela  0.1