Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAULETTE-20
in Bermuda,
16 Sep 2020 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bermuda,
    Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Sep 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 71000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 07 Sep 2020 03:00 102 No people No people
        Green 2 07 Sep 2020 09:00 93 No people No people
        Green 3 07 Sep 2020 15:00 93 No people No people
        Green 4 07 Sep 2020 21:00 93 No people No people
        Green 5 08 Sep 2020 03:00 102 No people No people
        Green 6 08 Sep 2020 09:00 102 No people No people
        Green 7 08 Sep 2020 15:00 111 No people No people
        Green 8 08 Sep 2020 21:00 111 No people No people
        Green 9 09 Sep 2020 03:00 102 No people No people
        Green 10 09 Sep 2020 09:00 93 No people No people
        Green 11 09 Sep 2020 15:00 93 No people No people
        Green 12 09 Sep 2020 21:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 13 10 Sep 2020 03:00 120 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 14 10 Sep 2020 09:00 139 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 15 10 Sep 2020 15:00 139 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 16 10 Sep 2020 21:00 148 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 17 11 Sep 2020 03:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 18 11 Sep 2020 09:00 167 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 19 11 Sep 2020 15:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 20 11 Sep 2020 21:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 21 12 Sep 2020 03:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 22 12 Sep 2020 09:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 23 12 Sep 2020 15:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 24 12 Sep 2020 21:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 25 13 Sep 2020 03:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 26 13 Sep 2020 09:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 27 13 Sep 2020 15:00 185 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 28 13 Sep 2020 21:00 185 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 29 14 Sep 2020 03:00 185 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 30 14 Sep 2020 09:00 185 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 31 14 Sep 2020 15:00 204 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 32 14 Sep 2020 21:00 204 110 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 33 15 Sep 2020 03:00 194 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 34 15 Sep 2020 09:00 185 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 35 15 Sep 2020 15:00 176 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 36 15 Sep 2020 21:00 157 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 37 16 Sep 2020 03:00 157 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 38 16 Sep 2020 09:00 157 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17, -41.5
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.3, -42.1
          GREEN
          		 3 07 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.2, -42.2
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.5, -42.4
          GREEN
          		 5 08 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.8, -42.5
          GREEN
          		 6 08 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.1, -42.8
          GREEN
          		 7 08 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.4, -43.3
          GREEN
          		 8 08 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.7, -44.3
          GREEN
          		 9 09 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.2, -45
          GREEN
          		 10 09 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.2, -45.6
          GREEN
          		 11 09 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20, -46.5
          GREEN
          		 12 09 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.5, -47.4
          GREEN
          		 13 10 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.9, -48.1
          GREEN
          		 14 10 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.9, -49
          GREEN
          		 15 10 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.5, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 16 10 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.1, -50.1
          GREEN
          		 17 11 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 22.7, -50.9
          GREEN
          		 18 11 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 23.1, -51.7
          GREEN
          		 19 11 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 23.6, -52.2
          GREEN
          		 20 11 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.6, -53.7
          GREEN
          		 21 12 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.8, -54.8
          GREEN
          		 22 12 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 26.8, -56.1
          GREEN
          		 23 12 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 27.5, -57.2
          GREEN
          		 24 12 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 28.4, -58.5
          GREEN
          		 25 13 Sep 2020 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 28.9, -59.7
          GREEN
          		 26 13 Sep 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 29.4, -60.8
          GREEN
          		 27 13 Sep 2020 15:00 Category 1 130 no people 71000 people 29.9, -61.9
          GREEN
          		 28 13 Sep 2020 21:00 Category 1 139 71000 people 71000 people 30.6, -63.1
          GREEN
          		 29 14 Sep 2020 03:00 Category 1 139 71000 people 71000 people 31.4, -64
          GREEN
          		 30 14 Sep 2020 09:00 Category 1 148 71000 people 71000 people 32.3, -64.7 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 31 14 Sep 2020 15:00 Category 2 157 no people 71000 people 33.2, -64.8
          GREEN
          		 32 14 Sep 2020 21:00 Category 2 167 no people 71000 people 34.5, -63.8
          GREEN
          		 33 15 Sep 2020 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 35.7, -62.3
          GREEN
          		 34 15 Sep 2020 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 37, -60.5
          GREEN
          		 35 15 Sep 2020 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 38.3, -57.9
          GREEN
          		 36 15 Sep 2020 21:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 39.5, -55
          GREEN
          		 37 16 Sep 2020 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 40.7, -52.4
          GREEN
          		 38 16 Sep 2020 09:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 41.9, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 38 16 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 43.9, -43.7
          GREEN
          		 38 17 Sep 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 45.5, -38.2
          GREEN
          		 38 17 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 45.6, -34.5
          GREEN
          		 38 18 Sep 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people 43.8, -33.6
          GREEN
          		 38 18 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4300 people 41.1, -33.5
          GREEN
          		 38 19 Sep 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 38.5, -33.8
          GREEN
          		 38 20 Sep 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 35.3, -33.6
          GREEN
          		 38 21 Sep 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 33.5, -33.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Bermuda

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Bermuda Bermuda

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Hamilton Bermuda Capital <1000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Bermuda International BDA 4 Mil. Paved Yes 9700

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Saint George BMSGE Bermuda
          Hamilton BMBDA Bermuda
          Somerset Bermuda
          Bermuda Bermuda
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Hamilton, Bermuda. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2020 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 34 of 15 Sep 2020 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Sep 2020 09:00 Hamilton Bermuda  0.4