Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-20
in Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (18 Sep 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)
Landfall between
17 Sep 2020 18:00 - 18 Sep 2020 18:00

in Thailand

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 93 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Red 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 120 30.5 million 3.3 million Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand
Red 2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 130 49.6 million 2.2 million Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.8, 119
GREEN
2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.8, 118.4
GREEN
2 16 Sep 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13.4, 117
GREEN
2 16 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2500 people 14.3, 115.3
GREEN
2 17 Sep 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 5.4 million people 15.1, 113.2
RED
2 17 Sep 2020 18:00 Category 1 130 2.2 million people 36.6 million people 15.9, 110.8
ORANGE
2 18 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 38.7 million people 17.2, 104.6 Thailand
GREEN
2 19 Sep 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 18.9, 97.5 Myanmar, Thailand
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.