Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NIVAR-20
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NIVAR-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2020-000233-IND
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 6.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (23 Nov 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)
Landfall between
25 Nov 2020 06:00 - 25 Nov 2020 18:00

in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Red 1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 130 53.5 million 2.1 million India
Red 2 23 Nov 2020 18:00 130 52.6 million 1.1 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10, 83.9
GREEN
2 23 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 <1000 people no people 9.8, 83.2
GREEN
2 24 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 63000 people no people 10.1, 82.5
ORANGE
2 24 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 111 10.4 million people no people 10.5, 81.6
RED
2 25 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 31 million people 1.2 million people 11.1, 80.7
ORANGE
2 25 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 51.3 million people no people 11.9, 79.6 India
GREEN
2 26 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 13.3, 77.9 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Tamil Nadu India 58.9 million people
Pondicherry India 850000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cuddalore Tamil Nadu India City -
Nellikkuppam Tamil Nadu India City 44000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cuddalore INCDL India

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Chiruttoppu, Sri Lanka. This height is estimated for 23 Nov 2020 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (181 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 23 Nov 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.7
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.6
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.6
25 Nov 2020 18:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.5
25 Nov 2020 18:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.5
25 Nov 2020 18:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.5
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.4
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Kalapettai India  0.4
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Purnankuppam India  0.4
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Cuddalore India  0.4
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Pondicherry India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.3
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Rameswaram India  0.3
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Marakkanam India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.3
25 Nov 2020 20:00 Quilon India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.3
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Therunattam India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 13:00 Porto Novo India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Kottapatnam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
25 Nov 2020 15:00 Kuvattur India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Pakala India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Chakicherla India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 13:00 Pamban India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Ullapalem India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Peddapatnam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
25 Nov 2020 15:00 Mahabalipuram India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 18:00 Kakinada India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 17:00 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Govundlapalem India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Madhavaram India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 13:00 Irumeni India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 16:00 Kelambakkam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Ennore India  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Haripad India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Bideipur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Rasalpur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 13:00 Chilaw Sri Lanka  0.2
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Amaikuli Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Velangann India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 10:00 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Nagappattinam India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Tranquebar India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Tarangambadi India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 17:00 Chennai India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 17:00 Tiruvottiyur India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Chandipur India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Kodur India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 18:00 Negombo Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Karaikal India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Accarapatam India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 20:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Bausia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Char Hijla Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Char Bansi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Aswadia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.1
25 Nov 2020 20:00 Antarvedi India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Mahishkhola Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Nilkamal Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Fatehjangpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Char Haim Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 04:00 Alleppey India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 20:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Andharmanik Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Mehdigunj Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Nandanpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 03:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Majanadi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 05:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.1
25 Nov 2020 18:00 Ja-Ela Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Wadduwa Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Kalutara Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 06:00 Turavur India  0.1
24 Nov 2020 08:00 Adhara Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Puttalam Sri Lanka  0.1
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
25 Nov 2020 19:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Hukitala India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Bijavbati India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 06:00 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Mudalaipalai Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 10:00 Bhatkul Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 10:00 Banari Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 10:00 Naria Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 08:00 Atpara Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 08:00 Hogla Char Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 10:00 Baghia Bangladesh  0.1
24 Nov 2020 08:00 Adam Manirabad Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Alankuda Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Karadipuval Sri Lanka  0.1