Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DANILO-21
in , Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
09 Jan 2021 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DANILO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries , Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Jan 23:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 111 No people No people
        Green 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 111 No people No people
        Green 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 102 No people No people
        Green 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 130 No people No people
        Green 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 130 No people No people
        Green 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 130 No people No people
        Green 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 130 No people No people
        Green 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 130 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 130 No people No people
        Green 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 148 No people No people
        Green 11 04 Jan 2021 12:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 12 05 Jan 2021 00:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
        Green 13 05 Jan 2021 12:00 130 1.3 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 14 06 Jan 2021 00:00 93 2.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 15 06 Jan 2021 12:00 74 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 16 07 Jan 2021 00:00 74 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 18 08 Jan 2021 00:00 83 2.2 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 19 08 Jan 2021 12:00 74 1.8 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Green 20 09 Jan 2021 00:00 46 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -11.2, 72.1
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -10.8, 72
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Jan 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -10.5, 72.2
          GREEN
          		 4 02 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -10.8, 72.5
          GREEN
          		 5 02 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -11.1, 72.4
          GREEN
          		 6 03 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -11.2, 72.6
          GREEN
          		 7 03 Jan 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -11.7, 73.5
          GREEN
          		 8 03 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -12.3, 74.2
          GREEN
          		 9 03 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -12.7, 75
          GREEN
          		 10 04 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -14.1, 76
          GREEN
          		 11 04 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -15.4, 76.2
          GREEN
          		 12 05 Jan 2021 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16.1, 76.4
          GREEN
          		 13 05 Jan 2021 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -16.7, 76
          GREEN
          		 14 06 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.9, 76
          GREEN
          		 15 06 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.5, 74.5
          GREEN
          		 16 07 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.3, 72.7
          GREEN
          		 18 08 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.1, 67.9
          GREEN
          		 19 08 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -18, 66.6
          GREEN
          		 20 09 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -18.4, 64.2
          GREEN
          		 20 09 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -19, 62.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Grande Reviere Sud Est, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 10 Jan 2021 23:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (6 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 07 Jan 2021 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          10 Jan 2021 23:00 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
          11 Jan 2021 00:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
          11 Jan 2021 00:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
          10 Jan 2021 23:00 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
          11 Jan 2021 00:00 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
          11 Jan 2021 00:00 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1