Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-21
in Philippines
14 May 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone THREE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 May 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
    Landfall between
    13 May 2021 06:00 - 13 May 2021 12:00
    in Philippines

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 300000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 12 May 2021 18:00 74 4.3 million No people Philippines
        Green 2 13 May 2021 00:00 83 5.8 million No people Philippines
        Green 3 13 May 2021 06:00 74 8.4 million No people Philippines
        Green 4 13 May 2021 12:00 56 300 thousand No people Philippines
        Green 5 13 May 2021 18:00 46 300 thousand No people Philippines
        Green 6 14 May 2021 00:00 46 300 thousand No people Philippines
        Green 7 14 May 2021 06:00 46 300 thousand No people Philippines
        Green 8 14 May 2021 12:00 46 300 thousand No people Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 12 May 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 7, 129.9
          GREEN
          		 2 13 May 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 7.2, 129.1
          GREEN
          		 3 13 May 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 900000 people 7.4, 127.9
          GREEN
          		 4 13 May 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 7.5, 126.7 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 5 13 May 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 7.5, 126.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 6 14 May 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 7.6, 125.2 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 7 14 May 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 7.8, 123.5 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 8 14 May 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 8.2, 122.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 8 15 May 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 8.8, 120.1
          GREEN
          		 8 15 May 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 9.6, 117.6
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Northern Mindanao Philippines
          Southern Mindanao Philippines

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Baganga BNQ unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Caraga Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mangagoy, Philippines. This height is estimated for 13 May 2021 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 13 May 2021 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 May 2021 20:00 Mangagoy Philippines  0.2
          13 May 2021 20:00 Bislig Philippines  0.2
          13 May 2021 21:00 Otiela Philippines  0.2
          13 May 2021 23:00 San Juan Philippines  0.2
          13 May 2021 19:00 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 18:00 Kinablangan Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 19:00 Cateel Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 19:00 San Rafael Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 20:00 Pagtilaan Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 19:00 Boston Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 20:00 Lawigan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Jaro Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Barcelona Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Avila Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Valencia Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Pulupandan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Sum-ag Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Bacolod Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Silay Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Saravia Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 19:00 Estado Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 20:00 Anilao Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 20:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 20:00 Victorias Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 16:00 Baculin B Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 18:00 Dapnan Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 17:00 Baganga Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 16:00 Baculin Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 20:00 Lingig Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Initao Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Tubigan Philippines  0.1
          13 May 2021 20:00 Barcelona Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 21:00 Banate Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 21:00 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 21:00 Culasi Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Gitagum Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Lagindingan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Manticao Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Naawan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Dolong Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Camp Overton Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Iligan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Dalipuga Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Mandulog Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Lugait Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Dogui-ongan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Oroquieta Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Caputol Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Mohon Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Jimenez Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Clarin Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 15:00 Plaridel Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 14:00 Dampalan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 14:00 Lopez Jaena Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 15:00 Baliangao Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 15:00 Bato Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 15:00 Usokan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 16:00 Dapitan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Casul Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Dipolog Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Polanco Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Linay Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Dohinob Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Roxas Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Katipunan Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Cagayan de Oro Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Gusa Philippines  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Ipanon Philippines  0.1
          15 May 2021 19:00 Tagburos Philippines  0.1
          15 May 2021 19:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1