Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
17 May 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2021-000056-IND
    Exposed countries India, Pakistan
    Exposed population 6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 3.5 m (18 May 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (India)
    Landfall between
    17 May 2021 12:00 - 17 May 2021 18:00
    in India

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 204 km/h 3.5 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 222 km/h 3.5 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      204 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Red 1 14 May 2021 06:00 204 44.6 million 4.1 million India, Pakistan
        Red 2 14 May 2021 12:00 204 54.3 million 4.9 million India, Pakistan
        Red 3 14 May 2021 18:00 204 35.5 million 3.7 million India, Pakistan
        Orange 4 15 May 2021 00:00 167 43.5 million 1.4 million India, Pakistan
        Red 5 15 May 2021 06:00 194 69.5 million 7.5 million India, Pakistan
        Red 6 15 May 2021 12:00 194 60.8 million 11.4 million India, Pakistan
        Red 7 15 May 2021 18:00 185 190 million 7.3 million India
        Red 8 16 May 2021 00:00 185 169 million 5.5 million India
        Red 9 16 May 2021 06:00 194 118.9 million 7.9 million India
        Red 10 16 May 2021 12:00 185 147.1 million 4.4 million India
        Red 11 16 May 2021 18:00 185 120.1 million 3.9 million India
        Red 12 17 May 2021 00:00 185 129 million 5.5 million India
        Red 13 17 May 2021 06:00 213 144.1 million 5.4 million India
        Red 14 17 May 2021 12:00 185 130 million 7 million India
        Red 15 17 May 2021 18:00 204 135 million 6.2 million India

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          ORANGE
          		 1 14 May 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 11.8 million people 11.6, 72.1
          GREEN
          		 2 14 May 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 9.5 million people 11.9, 72.2
          GREEN
          		 3 14 May 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.7 million people 12.1, 72.3
          GREEN
          		 4 15 May 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.5 million people 12.6, 72.4
          ORANGE
          		 5 15 May 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 10.1 million people 13.5, 73.3
          ORANGE
          		 6 15 May 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 10.7 million people 14.4, 72.9
          ORANGE
          		 7 15 May 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 no people 13.4 million people 14.6, 72.9
          ORANGE
          		 8 16 May 2021 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 20.7 million people 15, 72.9
          ORANGE
          		 9 16 May 2021 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 25.4 million people 15.9, 72.8
          RED
          		 10 16 May 2021 12:00 Category 3 185 220000 people 52.4 million people 16.8, 72.6
          GREEN
          		 11 16 May 2021 18:00 Category 3 204 no people 40.3 million people 17.8, 72.1
          GREEN
          		 12 17 May 2021 00:00 Category 4 222 5400 people 64 million people 18.5, 71.5
          RED
          		 13 17 May 2021 06:00 Category 4 213 1.4 million people 72.6 million people 19.2, 71.3
          RED
          		 14 17 May 2021 12:00 Category 3 185 3.9 million people 77.9 million people 20, 71.2
          RED
          		 15 17 May 2021 18:00 Category 3 204 4 million people 63.1 million people 20.8, 71.3 India
          RED
          		 15 18 May 2021 06:00 Category 1 148 2.2 million people 46.8 million people 22.5, 71.6 India
          ORANGE
          		 15 18 May 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 19.7 million people 24.4, 72.5 India
          GREEN
          		 15 19 May 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 26.2, 73.9 India
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          India

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Gujarat India
          Maharashtra India
          Rajasthan India

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Mahuva Gujarat India City 73000 people
          Kundla Gujarat India City 76000 people
          Amreli Gujarat India City 99000 people
          Botad Gujarat India City 100000 people
          Surendranagar Gujarat India City 180000 people
          Patan Gujarat India City 110000 people
          Siddhapur Gujarat India City 54000 people
          Palanpur Gujarat India City 110000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Diu DIU 14 0
          Ratnagiri RTC 61 Civ. Paved No 3600

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Pipavav Bandar India
          Diu INDIU India
          Muldwarka India
          Ratnagiri Bay India
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          3.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  3.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (188 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 17 May 2021 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          18 May 2021 00:00 Wadgam India  3.5
          18 May 2021 00:00 Asarsa India  3.4
          18 May 2021 00:00 Kambhat India  3.3
          18 May 2021 00:00 Tankari India  3.3
          18 May 2021 00:00 Kavi India  3.3
          18 May 2021 00:00 Sarod India  3.2
          18 May 2021 00:00 Muler India  3.2
          17 May 2021 19:00 Mahuva India  3.1
          17 May 2021 22:00 Ghogha India  3.0
          17 May 2021 19:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  2.9
          17 May 2021 23:00 Harinagar India  2.8
          17 May 2021 22:00 Dahej India  2.8
          17 May 2021 18:00 Jafarabad India  2.6
          17 May 2021 22:00 Olpad India  2.6
          17 May 2021 20:00 Kotada India  2.5
          17 May 2021 18:00 Rohisa India  2.4
          17 May 2021 22:00 Bhagva India  2.4
          17 May 2021 21:00 Surat India  2.4
          17 May 2021 21:00 Damka India  2.3
          17 May 2021 21:00 Mahuver India  2.3
          17 May 2021 21:00 Jalalpur India  2.3
          17 May 2021 18:00 Dharabandar India  2.1
          17 May 2021 20:00 Udvada India  1.6
          17 May 2021 20:00 Daman India  1.5
          17 May 2021 20:00 Maroli India  1.5
          17 May 2021 19:00 Bordi India  1.4
          17 May 2021 19:00 Umbargam India  1.4
          17 May 2021 19:00 Gholvad India  1.4
          17 May 2021 19:00 Tarapur India  1.2
          17 May 2021 19:00 Malyan India  1.2
          17 May 2021 17:00 Delvada India  1.2
          17 May 2021 17:00 Nawabandar India  1.2
          17 May 2021 19:00 Shirgaon India  1.1
          17 May 2021 19:00 Boisar India  1.1
          17 May 2021 17:00 Palghar India  1.1
          17 May 2021 17:00 Mahim India  1.1
          17 May 2021 17:00 Nalasopara India  1.0
          17 May 2021 16:00 Diva India  1.0
          17 May 2021 17:00 Agashi India  1.0
          17 May 2021 15:00 Vasai India  1.0
          17 May 2021 12:00 Mumbai India  0.9
          17 May 2021 12:00 Trombay India  0.9
          17 May 2021 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.9
          17 May 2021 15:00 Dongri India  0.9
          17 May 2021 16:00 Navghar India  0.9
          17 May 2021 16:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.9
          17 May 2021 14:00 Malad India  0.8
          17 May 2021 16:00 Uran India  0.8
          17 May 2021 15:00 Mandve India  0.8
          16 May 2021 11:00 Devgarh India  0.7
          16 May 2021 08:00 Vengurla India  0.7
          16 May 2021 07:00 Terekhol India  0.7
          16 May 2021 05:00 Marmagao India  0.6
          16 May 2021 05:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.6
          17 May 2021 13:00 Alibag India  0.6
          17 May 2021 07:00 Murud India  0.6
          17 May 2021 07:00 Revadanda India  0.6
          17 May 2021 07:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.6
          16 May 2021 14:00 Ratnagiri India  0.6
          16 May 2021 12:00 Pural India  0.6
          16 May 2021 13:00 Purangad India  0.6
          16 May 2021 13:00 Purnagad India  0.6
          16 May 2021 11:00 Achra India  0.6
          16 May 2021 07:00 Chopdem India  0.6
          16 May 2021 07:00 Agacaim India  0.6
          17 May 2021 07:00 Srivardhan India  0.6
          16 May 2021 15:00 Jaigarh India  0.6
          16 May 2021 13:00 Adiura India  0.6
          16 May 2021 08:00 Anjuna India  0.6
          16 May 2021 10:00 Malvan India  0.6
          17 May 2021 03:00 Bankot India  0.5
          17 May 2021 03:00 Kelshi India  0.5
          16 May 2021 13:00 Vijayadurg India  0.5
          16 May 2021 16:00 Anjanwel India  0.5
          16 May 2021 05:00 Madgaon India  0.5
          15 May 2021 21:00 Karwar India  0.5
          15 May 2021 21:00 Belekeri India  0.5
          16 May 2021 14:00 Mirya India  0.5
          16 May 2021 06:00 Panaji India  0.5
          16 May 2021 04:00 Advota India  0.5
          16 May 2021 04:00 Chaudi India  0.5
          15 May 2021 21:00 Ankola India  0.5
          15 May 2021 21:00 Gokarn India  0.5
          15 May 2021 21:00 Kumta India  0.5
          15 May 2021 20:00 Honavar India  0.4
          15 May 2021 20:00 Manki India  0.4
          17 May 2021 21:00 Dangarvadi India  0.4
          16 May 2021 04:00 Majali India  0.4
          15 May 2021 15:00 Shirali India  0.4
          15 May 2021 15:00 Bhatkal India  0.4
          14 May 2021 12:00 Manamelkudi India  0.4
          14 May 2021 12:00 Ammapatam India  0.4
          15 May 2021 20:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
          15 May 2021 20:00 Mavalli India  0.4
          16 May 2021 18:00 Boria India  0.4
          15 May 2021 15:00 Chittadi India  0.4
          15 May 2021 15:00 Bainduru India  0.4
          15 May 2021 15:00 Kundapura India  0.4
          14 May 2021 12:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.4
          17 May 2021 21:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
          14 May 2021 18:00 Alleppey India  0.3
          15 May 2021 20:00 Udipi India  0.3
          15 May 2021 14:00 Mulki India  0.3
          14 May 2021 20:00 Quilandi India  0.3
          15 May 2021 14:00 Mangaluru India  0.3
          14 May 2021 17:00 Mattancheri India  0.3
          14 May 2021 12:00 Tondi India  0.3
          14 May 2021 19:00 Ambalapulai India  0.3
          15 May 2021 14:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Cochin India  0.2
          17 May 2021 21:00 Kodinar India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Karaikal India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Accarapatam India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Kumbla India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Payyoli India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Edakkad India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Talakkolattur India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Beypore India  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Tanur India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Pappinivatti India  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 15:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 15:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Nagappattinam India  0.2
          16 May 2021 12:00 Guhagar India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Bekal India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Cannanore India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Mahe India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Chaughat India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Chervattur India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Madayipara India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Madayi India  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Ponnani India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Veliyangod India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
          14 May 2021 09:00 Kayankulam India  0.2
          14 May 2021 09:00 Karunagapalli India  0.2
          15 May 2021 14:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Kannapuram India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Chirakkal India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Valapattanam India  0.2
          14 May 2021 20:00 Azhikkal India  0.2
          14 May 2021 09:00 Badagara India  0.2
          14 May 2021 18:00 Haripad India  0.2
          14 May 2021 16:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 11:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.2
          14 May 2021 10:00 Irumeni India  0.2
          14 May 2021 17:00 Turavur India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Manattala India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Chavakkad India  0.2
          14 May 2021 19:00 Guruvayur India  0.2
          17 May 2021 21:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
          14 May 2021 10:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Vembar India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Quilon India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Thoothukkudi India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Melmandai India  0.1
          18 May 2021 01:00 Sutrapada India  0.1
          14 May 2021 15:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.1
          18 May 2021 01:00 Somnath India  0.1
          14 May 2021 18:00 Periathullay India  0.1
          14 May 2021 17:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
          14 May 2021 12:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
          18 May 2021 01:00 Veraval India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Cape Comorin India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Erukkandurai India  0.1
          14 May 2021 14:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Varkkallai India  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Anjengo India  0.1
          14 May 2021 13:00 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Puvar India  0.1
          14 May 2021 08:00 Agastiswaram India  0.1
          14 May 2021 11:00 Tiruchendur India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
          14 May 2021 09:00 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
          18 May 2021 01:00 Chorwad India  0.1