Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MINDULLE-21
in Japan, Russian Federation, Guam

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MINDULLE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation, Guam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 213 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 269 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 22 Sep 2021 12:00 222 220 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 2 22 Sep 2021 18:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Green 3 23 Sep 2021 00:00 231 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 4 23 Sep 2021 06:00 231 160 thousand 1 thousand Guam
Green 5 23 Sep 2021 12:00 231 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 6 23 Sep 2021 18:00 231 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 7 24 Sep 2021 00:00 241 170 thousand 2 thousand Guam
Green 8 24 Sep 2021 06:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 9 24 Sep 2021 12:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 10 24 Sep 2021 18:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 11 25 Sep 2021 00:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 12 25 Sep 2021 06:00 241 170 thousand No people Guam
Green 13 25 Sep 2021 12:00 241 630 thousand No people Guam, Japan
Green 14 25 Sep 2021 18:00 241 64.5 million Few people Guam, Japan
Green 15 26 Sep 2021 00:00 259 61.6 million 10 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 16 26 Sep 2021 06:00 269 71.7 million 280 thousand Japan
Green 17 26 Sep 2021 12:00 241 67.3 million 9 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 18 26 Sep 2021 18:00 222 58.9 million 8 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 19 27 Sep 2021 00:00 213 57 million 8 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 20 27 Sep 2021 06:00 204 48.8 million 8 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 21 27 Sep 2021 12:00 204 45.8 million Few people Guam, Japan
Green 22 27 Sep 2021 18:00 204 43.9 million Few people Guam, Japan, Russian Federation
Green 23 28 Sep 2021 00:00 204 43.5 million Few people Guam, Japan, Russian Federation
Green 24 28 Sep 2021 06:00 213 47.7 million 8 thousand Guam, Japan
Green 25 28 Sep 2021 12:00 213 42.1 million Few people Guam, Japan
Green 26 28 Sep 2021 18:00 213 40.1 million Few people Japan, Guam
Green 27 29 Sep 2021 00:00 213 42.2 million Few people Japan, Guam, Russian Federation
Green 28 29 Sep 2021 06:00 213 48.9 million Few people Japan, Guam
Green 29 29 Sep 2021 12:00 213 48.5 million Few people Japan, Guam

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 22 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.2, 148.6
GREEN
2 22 Sep 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 170000 people 11.8, 147.5
GREEN
3 23 Sep 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 170000 people 12.3, 146
GREEN
4 23 Sep 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 160000 people 13, 144.7
GREEN
5 23 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 170000 people 13.8, 142.8
GREEN
6 23 Sep 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.1, 141.8
GREEN
7 24 Sep 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 140.9
GREEN
8 24 Sep 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.4, 140.3
GREEN
9 24 Sep 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.1, 139.2
GREEN
10 24 Sep 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.7, 138.5
GREEN
11 25 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.9, 138.2
GREEN
12 25 Sep 2021 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 17.6, 137.6
GREEN
13 25 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 18.1, 137.4
GREEN
14 25 Sep 2021 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 18.5, 137
GREEN
15 26 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 18.6, 136.9
GREEN
16 26 Sep 2021 06:00 Category 5 269 no people no people 18.8, 136.7
GREEN
17 26 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 19, 136.7
GREEN
18 26 Sep 2021 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 19.4, 136.7
GREEN
19 27 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 19.6, 136.7
GREEN
20 27 Sep 2021 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 19.9, 136.6
GREEN
21 27 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 20.1, 136.4
GREEN
22 27 Sep 2021 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 20.5, 136.3
GREEN
23 28 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 21, 136.2
GREEN
24 28 Sep 2021 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 21.7, 135.7
GREEN
25 28 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 22, 135.5
GREEN
26 28 Sep 2021 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 22.6, 135.6
GREEN
27 29 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 23.3, 135.4
GREEN
28 29 Sep 2021 06:00 Category 4 213 no people 2100 people 24.2, 135.4
GREEN
29 29 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 4 213 no people 2100 people 24.9, 135.5
GREEN
29 30 Sep 2021 00:00 Category 3 204 no people 11000 people 26.9, 136.3
GREEN
29 30 Sep 2021 12:00 Category 3 194 <1000 people 41 million people 29.2, 138.2
GREEN
29 01 Oct 2021 00:00 Category 2 167 <1000 people 48.3 million people 31.9, 140.9
GREEN
29 01 Oct 2021 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 38.4 million people 34.8, 144.3
GREEN
29 02 Oct 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 41.5, 152.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tori Island Japan
Aoga Island Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.