Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
29 Jan 2022 18 UTC
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population No people in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Madagascar)
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 167 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 167 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
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Wind

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 120 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 120 20 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 93 No people No people
Green 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 111 1.3 million No people Mauritius
Orange 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 130 1.3 million 1.1 million Mauritius
Green 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 130 1.9 million 30 thousand Mauritius
Green 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 130 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 130 1.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 185 140 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 167 440 thousand No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS) 		Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher 		Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher 		Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -14.9, 86.6
GREEN
 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 85.3
GREEN
 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.4, 83.6
GREEN
 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.9, 81.8
GREEN
 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.9, 79.6
GREEN
 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -18, 77.5
GREEN
 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18, 76
GREEN
 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.2, 74.6
GREEN
 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.3, 73.6
GREEN
 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.4, 72.6
GREEN
 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 71.8
GREEN
 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.1, 70.6
GREEN
 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.9, 69.9
GREEN
 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.7, 69.1
GREEN
 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -17.6, 67.5
GREEN
 14 30 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -17.3, 65.7
GREEN
 14 31 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.1, 63.8
GREEN
 14 31 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.1, 62.1
GREEN
 14 01 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -17.4, 60.2
GREEN
 14 01 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 157 no people <1000 people -17.9, 58.3
GREEN
 14 02 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 157 no people <1000 people -18.4, 56.7
GREEN
 14 02 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 450000 people -18.9, 55.6
GREEN
 14 03 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 450000 people -19.3, 54.6
GREEN
 14 03 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -19.5, 54
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 27 Jan 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)