Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
03 Feb 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 2.4 million in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 204 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 1 m (05 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
05 Feb 2022 06:00 - 05 Feb 2022 18:00
in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 204 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 204 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
TOP

Wind

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 120 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 120 20 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 93 No people No people
Green 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 111 1.3 million No people Mauritius
Orange 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 130 1.3 million 1.1 million Mauritius
Green 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 130 1.9 million 30 thousand Mauritius
Green 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 130 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 130 1.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 185 140 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 167 440 thousand No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 167 80 thousand No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 176 No people No people
Green 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 204 2.3 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 213 11.6 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 204 11.4 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 204 9 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Orange 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 176 12.1 million 90 thousand Madagascar
Orange 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 167 13.4 million 710 thousand Madagascar
Orange 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 185 15.3 million 1.5 million Madagascar
Orange 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 176 15.4 million 830 thousand Madagascar
Orange 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 185 17.6 million 840 thousand Madagascar
Red 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 185 18.3 million 2 million Madagascar
Red 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 185 17.3 million 1.9 million Madagascar
Red 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 185 17.7 million 910 thousand Madagascar
Red 30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 185 18.1 million 1.8 million Madagascar
Red 31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 185 19 million 450 thousand Madagascar
Red 32 03 Feb 2022 06:00 204 20.1 million 2.4 million Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS) 		Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher 		Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher 		Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -14.9, 86.6
GREEN
 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 85.3
GREEN
 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.4, 83.6
GREEN
 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.9, 81.8
GREEN
 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.9, 79.6
GREEN
 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -18, 77.5
GREEN
 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18, 76
GREEN
 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.2, 74.6
GREEN
 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.3, 73.6
GREEN
 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.4, 72.6
GREEN
 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 71.8
GREEN
 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.1, 70.6
GREEN
 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.9, 69.9
GREEN
 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.7, 69.1
GREEN
 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.5, 68.1
GREEN
 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.1, 67
GREEN
 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
GREEN
 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.6, 65.1
GREEN
 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
GREEN
 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.8, 63.9
GREEN
 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -15.9, 63.2
GREEN
 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16, 63
GREEN
 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16.5, 62.3
GREEN
 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -16.8, 61.2
GREEN
 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.2, 60.2
GREEN
 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 1.1 million people -17.7, 59.1
GREEN
 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.3 million people -18, 58.3
GREEN
 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.6 million people -18.5, 57.6
GREEN
 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 1.9 million people -18.9, 56.7
GREEN
 30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 185 no people 2.2 million people -18.9, 56.1
GREEN
 31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.2 million people -19, 55.7
GREEN
 32 03 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 580000 people -19, 55.3
GREEN
 32 03 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 500000 people -19.2, 54.1
GREEN
 32 04 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.3 million people -19.3, 52.9
RED
 32 04 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 194 340000 people 14 million people -19.6, 51.4
RED
 32 05 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 3 204 2.4 million people 16.2 million people -19.9, 49.2
ORANGE
 32 05 Feb 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 14.9 million people -20.3, 46.7 Madagascar
GREEN
 32 06 Feb 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 670000 people -21.1, 43.8 Madagascar
GREEN
 32 06 Feb 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 310000 people -21.8, 41.4
GREEN
 32 07 Feb 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 150000 people -22.3, 40
GREEN
 32 07 Feb 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1.4 million people -22.9, 39
GREEN
 32 08 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -23.8, 38.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toamasina Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar
Antananarivo Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
Antsirabe Antananarivo Madagascar City 150000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400
Antsirabe ATJ 1523 Civ. Unpaved No 4900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Ambodiharina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2022 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (164 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 32 of 03 Feb 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  1.0
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.9
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.6
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.6
05 Feb 2022 08:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.4
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Amado Mozambique  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Baly Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 07:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 03:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Build v7.1 2008-03-26 Europa Island  0.2
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Warren Point Europa Island  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Mite Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 05:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 04:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 04:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 00:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Tama Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 22:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 09:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 11:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 02:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 23:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 06:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 01:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1