Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
05 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population 2.1 million in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (05 Feb 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
05 Feb 2022 12:00 - 06 Feb 2022 00:00
in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 194 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
TOP

Wind

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 120 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 120 20 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 93 No people No people
Green 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 167 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 139 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 102 40 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 111 1.3 million No people Mauritius
Orange 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 130 1.3 million 1.1 million Mauritius
Green 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 130 1.9 million 30 thousand Mauritius
Green 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 130 1.1 million No people Mauritius
Green 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 130 1.7 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 185 140 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 167 440 thousand No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 167 80 thousand No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 176 No people No people
Green 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 204 2.3 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 213 11.6 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Green 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 204 11.4 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Green 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 204 9 million No people Mauritius, Madagascar
Orange 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 176 12.1 million 90 thousand Madagascar
Orange 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 167 13.4 million 710 thousand Madagascar
Orange 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 185 15.3 million 1.5 million Madagascar
Orange 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 176 15.4 million 830 thousand Madagascar
Orange 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 185 17.6 million 840 thousand Madagascar
Red 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 185 18.3 million 2 million Madagascar
Red 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 185 17.3 million 1.9 million Madagascar
Red 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 185 17.7 million 910 thousand Madagascar
Red 30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 185 18.1 million 1.8 million Madagascar
Red 31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 185 19 million 450 thousand Madagascar
Red 32 03 Feb 2022 06:00 204 20.1 million 2.4 million Madagascar
Red 33 03 Feb 2022 12:00 204 19.4 million 2.1 million Madagascar
Red 34 03 Feb 2022 18:00 194 16.6 million 2.3 million Madagascar
Red 35 04 Feb 2022 00:00 204 16.8 million 1.6 million Madagascar
Red 36 04 Feb 2022 06:00 204 18.9 million 500 thousand Madagascar
Red 37 04 Feb 2022 12:00 213 18 million 1.7 million Madagascar
Red 38 04 Feb 2022 18:00 204 18.1 million 3 million Madagascar
Red 39 05 Feb 2022 00:00 194 17.9 million 2.1 million Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS) 		Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher 		Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher 		Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -14.9, 86.6
GREEN
 2 26 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 85.3
GREEN
 3 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.4, 83.6
GREEN
 4 27 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.9, 81.8
GREEN
 5 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -17.9, 79.6
GREEN
 6 27 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -18, 77.5
GREEN
 7 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18, 76
GREEN
 8 28 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.2, 74.6
GREEN
 9 28 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.3, 73.6
GREEN
 10 28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -18.4, 72.6
GREEN
 11 29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.4, 71.8
GREEN
 12 29 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.1, 70.6
GREEN
 13 29 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -17.9, 69.9
GREEN
 14 29 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.7, 69.1
GREEN
 15 30 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.5, 68.1
GREEN
 16 30 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.1, 67
GREEN
 17 30 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.8, 66.1
GREEN
 18 30 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.6, 65.1
GREEN
 19 31 Jan 2022 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.4, 64.5
GREEN
 20 31 Jan 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.8, 63.9
GREEN
 21 31 Jan 2022 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -15.9, 63.2
GREEN
 22 31 Jan 2022 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16, 63
GREEN
 23 01 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16.5, 62.3
GREEN
 24 01 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -16.8, 61.2
GREEN
 25 01 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -17.2, 60.2
GREEN
 26 01 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 1.1 million people -17.7, 59.1
GREEN
 27 02 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.3 million people -18, 58.3
GREEN
 28 02 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.6 million people -18.5, 57.6
GREEN
 29 02 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 1.9 million people -18.9, 56.7
GREEN
 30 02 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 185 no people 2.2 million people -18.9, 56.1
GREEN
 31 03 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.2 million people -19, 55.7
GREEN
 32 03 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 580000 people -19, 55.3
GREEN
 33 03 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 850000 people -19.2, 55
GREEN
 34 03 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 840000 people -19.3, 54.5
GREEN
 35 04 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 850000 people -19.4, 53.7
GREEN
 36 04 Feb 2022 06:00 Category 2 176 no people 1.7 million people -19.4, 53.1
GREEN
 37 04 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 1.6 million people -19.4, 52.5
GREEN
 38 04 Feb 2022 18:00 Category 3 185 no people 7.7 million people -19.6, 52
RED
 39 05 Feb 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 350000 people 11.6 million people -19.9, 51.3
RED
 39 05 Feb 2022 12:00 Category 3 194 2.1 million people 13.6 million people -20.5, 49.3
ORANGE
 39 06 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 13.9 million people -20.9, 46.9 Madagascar
GREEN
 39 06 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.7 million people -21.9, 43.9 Madagascar
GREEN
 39 07 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 810000 people -22.5, 42.2
GREEN
 39 07 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 850000 people -23.2, 41.3
GREEN
 39 08 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 730000 people -24.1, 40.9
GREEN
 39 08 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 66000 people -25.2, 40.7
GREEN
 39 09 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3700 people -26.5, 40.7
GREEN
 39 09 Feb 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -28.4, 41
GREEN
 39 10 Feb 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -30.5, 41.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toamasina Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Mananjary Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 27000 people
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400
Mananjary MNJ 6 Civ. Paved No 4900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
Mananjary MGMNJ Madagascar
TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Nosy-Varika, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 05 Feb 2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (170 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 39 of 05 Feb 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.8
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.7
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 15:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.5
07 Feb 2022 15:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 15:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.5
05 Feb 2022 15:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 16:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 13:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 16:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 09:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.4
08 Feb 2022 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
07 Feb 2022 16:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 11:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 23:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 21:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 14:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 00:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Andavadoaka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.3
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 10:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.3
07 Feb 2022 10:00 Amado Mozambique  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 21:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.3
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Befandeva Madagascar  0.3
07 Feb 2022 09:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 21:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 11:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 09:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 05:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 08:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 09:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2022 01:00 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2022 01:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.2
08 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 10:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 19:00 Andalambezo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 08:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Mite Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 15:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 14:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
07 Feb 2022 06:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
05 Feb 2022 10:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
07 Feb 2022 09:00 Barra Mozambique  0.2
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
06 Feb 2022 17:00 Ambohitrabo Madagascar  0.2
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 16:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2022 22:00 Ambatomilo Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 13:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 05:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
09 Feb 2022 00:00 Salary Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 19:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 04:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 04:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2022 23:00 Siane Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
09 Feb 2022 00:00 Induna Mozambique  0.1
08 Feb 2022 08:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
09 Feb 2022 00:00 Bekodoy Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 14:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 16:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 20:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
05 Feb 2022 05:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 17:00 Anakitaina Madagascar  0.1
07 Feb 2022 02:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
06 Feb 2022 18:00 Tsiandamba Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 01:00 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
05 Feb 2022 18:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 12:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 13:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
06 Feb 2022 22:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
07 Feb 2022 01:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1