Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (30 May 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 18:00 - 31 May 2022 06:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

176 km/h Current Max.

Up to 150000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico
Orange 6 29 May 2022 09:00 148 3.3 million 190 thousand Mexico
Orange 7 29 May 2022 15:00 176 3.7 million 350 thousand Mexico
Red 8 29 May 2022 21:00 194 2.9 million 200 thousand Mexico
Red 9 30 May 2022 03:00 194 3.6 million 220 thousand Mexico
Orange 10 30 May 2022 09:00 176 2.6 million 150 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
GREEN
3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
GREEN
4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
GREEN
5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
GREEN
6 29 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -98.8
GREEN
7 29 May 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.1, -99
GREEN
8 29 May 2022 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14.1, -98.7
GREEN
9 30 May 2022 03:00 Category 2 176 no people 290000 people 14.5, -98.2
GREEN
10 30 May 2022 09:00 Category 2 176 no people 760000 people 14.8, -97.7
ORANGE
10 30 May 2022 18:00 Category 2 176 150000 people 2.6 million people 15.4, -96.8
GREEN
10 31 May 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2.1 million people 16.3, -95.6 Mexico
GREEN
10 31 May 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.9, -94.7 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Pochutla PUH unknown 0
Bahias de Huatulco International HUX 143 Civ. Paved Yes 8800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Puerto Angel Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Loma Larga, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2022 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (134 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 30 May 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 May 2022 22:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.4
30 May 2022 23:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 12:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 12:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 12:00 La Majada Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 10:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.4
31 May 2022 10:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.4
30 May 2022 21:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 14:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 14:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 14:00 El Roble Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 18:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.3
31 May 2022 17:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 00:00 Mirador Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 16:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 18:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.3
30 May 2022 20:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 18:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.3
31 May 2022 18:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.3
31 May 2022 18:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 La Union El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 00:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 16:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 16:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 17:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 07:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 08:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 18:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 05:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
30 May 2022 20:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 05:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
30 May 2022 20:00 Coyote Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Libertad El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 San Diego El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Aposentillo Nicaragua  0.1
31 May 2022 18:00 Mullins Belize  0.1