Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico
31 May 2022 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (30 May 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    30 May 2022 15:00 - 30 May 2022 21:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
        Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
        Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
        Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
        Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico
        Orange 6 29 May 2022 09:00 148 3.3 million 190 thousand Mexico
        Orange 7 29 May 2022 15:00 176 3.7 million 350 thousand Mexico
        Red 8 29 May 2022 21:00 194 2.9 million 200 thousand Mexico
        Red 9 30 May 2022 03:00 194 3.6 million 220 thousand Mexico
        Orange 10 30 May 2022 09:00 176 2.6 million 150 thousand Mexico
        Orange 11 30 May 2022 15:00 176 4.5 million 300 thousand Mexico
        Orange 12 30 May 2022 21:00 167 2.4 million 260 thousand Mexico
        Green 13 31 May 2022 03:00 111 2.8 million 220 thousand Mexico
        Green 14 31 May 2022 09:00 74 2.8 million 220 thousand Mexico
        Green 15 31 May 2022 15:00 46 2.9 million 220 thousand Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
          GREEN
          		 2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
          GREEN
          		 3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
          GREEN
          		 4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
          GREEN
          		 5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
          GREEN
          		 6 29 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -98.8
          GREEN
          		 7 29 May 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.1, -99
          GREEN
          		 8 29 May 2022 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14.1, -98.7
          GREEN
          		 9 30 May 2022 03:00 Category 2 176 no people 290000 people 14.5, -98.2
          GREEN
          		 10 30 May 2022 09:00 Category 2 176 no people 760000 people 14.8, -97.7
          ORANGE
          		 11 30 May 2022 15:00 Category 2 176 190000 people 2.2 million people 15.3, -97.1
          ORANGE
          		 12 30 May 2022 21:00 Category 2 167 260000 people 2.2 million people 15.7, -96.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 13 31 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2.7 million people 16.2, -96.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 14 31 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.1 million people 16.8, -95.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 15 31 May 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.3, -94.9 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Veracruz Mexico
          Oaxaca Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Matías Romero Oaxaca Mexico City 20000 people
          Ciudad Ixtepec Oaxaca Mexico City -
          Unión Hidalgo Oaxaca Mexico City 12000 people
          Juchitan Oaxaca Mexico City 66000 people
          Tehuantepec Oaxaca Mexico City 37000 people
          Salina Cruz Oaxaca Mexico City 74000 people
          Oaxaca Oaxaca Mexico Major city 260000 people
          Zimatlán Oaxaca Mexico City 9700 people
          Miahuatlan Oaxaca Mexico City 17000 people
          Ejutla Oaxaca Mexico City -
          Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people
          Juchatengo Oaxaca Mexico City -
          Jamiltepec Oaxaca Mexico City 9800 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ixtepec IZT unknown 0
          Ixtepec Military 50 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          Salina Cruz SCX 23 0
          Xoxocotlan OAX 1528 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
          Bahias de Huatulco International HUX 143 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
          Pochutla PUH unknown 0
          Puerto Escondido PXM 88 Civ. Paved Yes 7500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Salina Cruz MXSCX Mexico
          Puerto Angel Mexico
          Punta Escondida Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Presidente Benito Juarez Tehuantepec 1961
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in La Redonda, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2022 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 31 May 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          30 May 2022 20:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.4
          30 May 2022 22:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 10:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 10:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 10:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 12:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 09:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 09:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Roble Mexico  0.3
          30 May 2022 20:00 Coyote Mexico  0.3
          30 May 2022 21:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.3
          30 May 2022 23:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.3
          31 May 2022 12:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 10:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          30 May 2022 20:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.2
          30 May 2022 17:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.2
          30 May 2022 17:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
          30 May 2022 17:00 Chagues Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.2
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
          31 May 2022 09:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 09:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 00:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
          30 May 2022 21:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Union El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
          31 May 2022 05:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
          30 May 2022 23:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
          31 May 2022 12:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1