Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (31 May 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
30 May 2022 12:00 - 31 May 2022 00:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 176 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

176 km/h Current Max.

Up to 350000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 May 2022 03:00 148 3 million 470 thousand Mexico
Orange 2 28 May 2022 09:00 157 4.6 million 520 thousand Mexico
Orange 3 28 May 2022 15:00 157 3.9 million 270 thousand Mexico
Orange 4 28 May 2022 21:00 167 4.2 million 210 thousand Mexico
Orange 5 29 May 2022 03:00 157 2.9 million 150 thousand Mexico
Orange 6 29 May 2022 09:00 148 3.3 million 190 thousand Mexico
Orange 7 29 May 2022 15:00 176 3.7 million 350 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 May 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.8, -97.9
GREEN
2 28 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.9, -98.1
GREEN
3 28 May 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.2, -98.4
GREEN
4 28 May 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.8, -98.1
GREEN
5 29 May 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.9, -98.7
GREEN
6 29 May 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -98.8
GREEN
7 29 May 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.1, -99
GREEN
7 30 May 2022 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 120000 people 14.4, -98.8
ORANGE
7 30 May 2022 12:00 Category 2 176 120000 people 2.1 million people 14.9, -98
ORANGE
7 31 May 2022 00:00 Category 2 176 350000 people 3.5 million people 15.7, -96.9 Mexico
GREEN
7 31 May 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3.3 million people 16.6, -95.8 Mexico
GREEN
7 01 Jun 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.4, -95 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Oaxaca Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Pochutla Oaxaca Mexico City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Escondido PXM 88 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Pochutla PUH unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Punta Escondida Mexico
Puerto Angel Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Tlachicon, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 May 2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (30 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 29 May 2022 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2022 01:00 Tlachicon Mexico  0.5
31 May 2022 01:00 Coyote Mexico  0.5
31 May 2022 12:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 12:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 12:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 12:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 02:00 La Redonda Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 13:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
31 May 2022 14:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 14:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 15:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
30 May 2022 23:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 14:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 05:00 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 03:00 Loma Larga Mexico  0.2
31 May 2022 17:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 12:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 02:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 11:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 12:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 12:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 09:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 10:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 12:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
30 May 2022 21:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 01:00 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 05:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
31 May 2022 12:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1