Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
13 Oct 2022 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (13 Oct 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    15 Oct 2022 00:00 - 15 Oct 2022 12:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 83 5.1 million No people Mexico
        Green 3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 74 2.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 93 2.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 6 12 Oct 2022 21:00 102 2.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 7 13 Oct 2022 03:00 93 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 8 13 Oct 2022 09:00 83 2.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 9 13 Oct 2022 15:00 83 2.6 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.6, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 12000 people 20.5, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 3 12 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21.1, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 4 12 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.7, -94.7
          GREEN
          		 5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22, -94.5
          GREEN
          		 6 12 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.2, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 7 13 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.4, -94.3
          GREEN
          		 8 13 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.4, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 9 13 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.7, -93.9
          GREEN
          		 9 14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21, -93.6
          GREEN
          		 9 14 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people 20, -93.3
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.3 million people 19.1, -93.4
          GREEN
          		 9 15 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.3 million people 18, -94.3 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 16 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17, -95 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Mexico 2.5 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Veracruz Mexico 2 million people
          Tabasco Mexico 320000 people
          Oaxaca Mexico 130000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
          Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
          Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
          San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
          Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
          Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people
          Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
          Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
          Acayucan Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
          Matías Romero Oaxaca Mexico City 20000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
          Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
          Minatitlan Old 27 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
          Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico
          Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
          Rabon Grande Mexico
          Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
          Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
          Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico

          Nuclear plants

          Name Country Reactors
          LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO 2
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kopernik Shores, United States. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (257 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 13 Oct 2022 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 South Padre Island United States  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Boca Chica United States  0.5
          15 Oct 2022 02:00 Majahual Mexico  0.5
          13 Oct 2022 12:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Palacios United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 11:00 Port Isabel United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Champoton Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.4
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Calderas Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Nadeau United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Texas City United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Virginia Point United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Fort Travis United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Flake United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Elmgrove United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 21:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 21:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 21:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.4
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Galveston United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 14:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 14:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.4
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Arista Mexico  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Freeport United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Mims United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port Morris United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 22:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Quintana United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Surfside United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 03:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Estes United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Sea Isle United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Patton United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 High Island United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Caplen United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Gilchrist United States  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 09:00 Tonala Mexico  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 03:00 La Mata Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 10:00 Noham Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Rockport United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Copano Village United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Fulton United States  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Santeneja Belize  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Constance Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 04:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Cameron United States  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Oak Grove United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Sisal Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Celestum Mexico  0.3
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 16:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 10:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 07:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 13:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 12:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 15:00 Yarborough United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 22:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 09:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 20:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 West Point United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 15:00 Breton United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 16:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chelem Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Progreso Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 22:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 05:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 22:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 22:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 13:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 21:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Buras United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 14:00 Eden Isle United States  0.2
          15 Oct 2022 14:00 Howze Beach United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 19:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 22:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 21:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 19:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 12:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Surf United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 21:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Coden United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 22:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 20:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 01:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Gulf Resort Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Lullwater Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Bahama Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Gulf Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Panama City Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Edgewater Gulf Beach United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Long Beach Resort United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Swift United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Miffin United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 McNeils United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Odena United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 22:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gasque United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oak United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Tilton United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Franklin United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Apalachicola United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Eastpoint United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Duvic United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Raya Honduras  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Clubki Honduras  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Yent Place United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 Carrabelle United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 Lanark Village United States  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 23:00 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 05:00 San Pedro Belize  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 21:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 05:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Milltown United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Ward Ridge United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 San Blas United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Parker United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 10:00 Tyndall AFB United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 08:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1