Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHENESO-23
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHENESO-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (19 Jan 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
18 Jan 2023 18:00 - 19 Jan 2023 06:00

in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 148 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Jan 2023 18:00 111 6.7 million No people Madagascar
Green 2 18 Jan 2023 06:00 93 3.3 million No people Madagascar
Green 3 18 Jan 2023 18:00 102 3.9 million No people Madagascar
Green 4 19 Jan 2023 06:00 83 4.1 million No people Madagascar
Green 5 24 Jan 2023 00:00 148 5.5 million No people Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Jan 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14.1, 58
GREEN
2 18 Jan 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 630000 people -13.8, 54.3
GREEN
3 18 Jan 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2.6 million people -13.5, 51.7
GREEN
4 19 Jan 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.9 million people -14, 49.9 Madagascar
GREEN
5 24 Jan 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -20.2, 42.5
GREEN
5 24 Jan 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -20.2, 42.4
GREEN
5 25 Jan 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 230000 people -20.2, 42.3
GREEN
5 25 Jan 2023 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 430000 people -20.3, 42.2
GREEN
5 26 Jan 2023 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 430000 people -20.3, 41.9
GREEN
5 27 Jan 2023 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 37000 people -20.9, 41.1
GREEN
5 28 Jan 2023 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -22.9, 39.6
GREEN
5 29 Jan 2023 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -24.6, 40.4
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Manambia, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 19 Jan 2023 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (167 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 19 Jan 2023 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.4
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 12:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.3
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Masondrono Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Antanambao Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 23:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 01:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 23:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 21:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 12:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 10:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 22:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 21:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 13:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 14:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 14:00 La Reunion Seychelles  0.1
19 Jan 2023 16:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 11:00 Ambalihabe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 11:00 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
20 Jan 2023 02:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 15:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 04:00 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 10:00 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 17:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
20 Jan 2023 04:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
20 Jan 2023 04:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
20 Jan 2023 03:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 03:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
19 Jan 2023 02:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1