Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MARGOT-23 Off-shore from 07 Sep 2023 15:00 UTC to 16 Sep 2023 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARGOT-23

Off-shore

16 Sep 2023 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARGOT-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 40000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Sep 2023 15:00	148	No people	No people
2	07 Sep 2023 21:00	148	No people	No people
3	08 Sep 2023 03:00	148	No people	No people
4	08 Sep 2023 09:00	148	No people	No people
5	08 Sep 2023 15:00	139	No people	No people
6	08 Sep 2023 21:00	139	No people	No people
7	09 Sep 2023 03:00	139	No people	No people
8	09 Sep 2023 09:00	139	No people	No people
9	09 Sep 2023 15:00	139	No people	No people
10	09 Sep 2023 21:00	139	No people	No people
11	10 Sep 2023 03:00	139	No people	No people
12	10 Sep 2023 09:00	139	No people	No people
13	10 Sep 2023 15:00	139	No people	No people
14	10 Sep 2023 21:00	139	No people	No people
15	11 Sep 2023 03:00	139	No people	No people
16	11 Sep 2023 09:00	139	No people	No people
17	11 Sep 2023 15:00	148	No people	No people
18	11 Sep 2023 21:00	157	No people	No people
19	12 Sep 2023 03:00	157	No people	No people
20	12 Sep 2023 09:00	157	No people	No people
21	12 Sep 2023 15:00	148	No people	No people
22	12 Sep 2023 21:00	139	No people	No people
23	13 Sep 2023 03:00	139	No people	No people
24	13 Sep 2023 09:00	139	No people	No people
25	13 Sep 2023 15:00	148	No people	No people
26	13 Sep 2023 21:00	148	No people	No people
27	14 Sep 2023 03:00	139	No people	No people
28	14 Sep 2023 09:00	120	No people	No people
29	14 Sep 2023 15:00	130	No people	No people
30	14 Sep 2023 21:00	130	No people	No people
31	15 Sep 2023 03:00	120	No people	No people
32	15 Sep 2023 09:00	111	No people	No people
33	15 Sep 2023 15:00	102	4 thousand	No people	Portugal
34	15 Sep 2023 21:00	102	4 thousand	No people	Portugal
35	16 Sep 2023 03:00	102	No people	No people
36	16 Sep 2023 09:00	93	40 thousand	No people	Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	07 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, -26.4
2	07 Sep 2023 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.8, -28.3
3	08 Sep 2023 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.8, -29.3
4	08 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.4, -30.8
5	08 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	18, -32.5
6	08 Sep 2023 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	18.8, -34.3
7	09 Sep 2023 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.5, -35.8
8	09 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.9, -36.9
9	09 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.5, -38
10	09 Sep 2023 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21, -38.7
11	10 Sep 2023 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	21.6, -39.1
12	10 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	22.1, -39.6
13	10 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	23, -40
14	10 Sep 2023 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	23.9, -40.1
15	11 Sep 2023 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	24.6, -39.9
16	11 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	25.3, -40
17	11 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.1, -40
18	11 Sep 2023 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	27, -39.8
19	12 Sep 2023 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	28, -39.6
20	12 Sep 2023 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	29.3, -39.5
21	12 Sep 2023 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30.2, -39.4
22	12 Sep 2023 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	31.7, -39.6
23	13 Sep 2023 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	32.7, -39.7
24	13 Sep 2023 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	33.6, -40
25	13 Sep 2023 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	34.1, -40.4
26	13 Sep 2023 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	34.7, -40.6
27	14 Sep 2023 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	35.2, -40.5
28	14 Sep 2023 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	35.9, -40.3
29	14 Sep 2023 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	36.5, -39.8
30	14 Sep 2023 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	36.9, -39.3
31	15 Sep 2023 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	36.9, -38.9
32	15 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	36.7, -38.6
33	15 Sep 2023 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	36.3, -38.2
34	15 Sep 2023 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	36, -37.9
35	16 Sep 2023 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	35.5, -38
36	16 Sep 2023 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	35, -38.3
36	16 Sep 2023 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	34.5, -39.4
36	17 Sep 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	34.3, -41.1
36	17 Sep 2023 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	34.8, -42.5
36	18 Sep 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	36, -43.3
36	18 Sep 2023 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	37.7, -41.9
36	19 Sep 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	38.9, -39.3
36	20 Sep 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	40000 people	38.5, -33
36	21 Sep 2023 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	38.5, -29.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Portugal	37000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Azores	Portugal	37000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Flores	FLW	34	Civ.	Paved	No	4500
Corvo Island	CVU	unknown				0
Horta	HOR	35	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5500
Pico	PIX	34	Civ.	Paved	No	4700
Sao Jorge	SJZ	95	Civ.	Paved	No	4200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Lajes Das Flores	PTLAJ	Portugal
Santa Cruz		Portugal
Vila Nova		Portugal
Horta	PTHOR	Portugal
Madalena Pico		Portugal
Sao Matues Pico		Portugal
Pico Island		Portugal
Lajes Do Pico		Portugal
Velas Sao Jorge		Portugal
Calheta Sao Jorge		Portugal
San Jorge Island		Portugal

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 36 of 16 Sep 2023 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.