Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24 in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States from 28 Jun 2024 21:00 UTC to 29 Jun 2024 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24

in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States

29 Jun 2024 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
Exposed population	9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (01 Jul 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Jamaica)
Landfall	between 03 Jul 2024 00:00 - 04 Jul 2024 00:00 in Jamaica

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	167 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	269 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 320000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	139	4.7 million	20 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
	2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	167	4.9 million	320 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.1, -41.9
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -43.6
2	29 Jun 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.7, -46.2
2	30 Jun 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.4, -49.7
2	30 Jun 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	11, -53.1
2	01 Jul 2024 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	560000 people	11.7, -56.5
2	01 Jul 2024 12:00	Category 1	148	60000 people	830000 people	12.5, -60
2	02 Jul 2024 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	1700 people	13.6, -63.6
2	03 Jul 2024 00:00	Category 2	167	270000 people	4.1 million people	16, -71
2	04 Jul 2024 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	17.8, -77.8	Jamaica

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	42000 people
Jamaica	260000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	42000 people
Saint Catherine	Jamaica	9600 people
Clarendon	Jamaica	89000 people
Manchester	Jamaica	46000 people
Saint Elizabeth	Jamaica	110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
E T Joshua	SVD	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600
J F Mitchell		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Canouan		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3600

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Admiralty Bay		Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Kingstown	VCKTN	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Port Esquivel	JMPEV	Jamaica
Salt River	JMSRI	Jamaica
Port Kaiser	JMPKS	Jamaica
Black River	JMBLR	Jamaica

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Mustique, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2024 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (27 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 29 Jun 2024 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Calliaqua	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Cujizal	Venezuela	0.2
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Palencia	Venezuela	0.2
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Fancy	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Guasare Abajo	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 15:00	Caduto	Venezuela	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Argyle	Grenada	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Jagueicito	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Ocorote	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Rio Seco	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Algodones	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Puerto Zazarida	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Cuajaracume	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Cauca	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Codore Adentro	Venezuela	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Kingstown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Chateaubelair	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Georgetown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Arajo	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Zazarida	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Cayude	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.