Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24 in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States from 28 Jun 2024 21:00 UTC to 29 Jun 2024 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24

in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States

29 Jun 2024 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
Exposed population	9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (01 Jul 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Jamaica)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	167 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	269 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	139	4.7 million	20 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	167	4.9 million	320 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	167	6.8 million	2.2 million	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.1, -41.9
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -43.6
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9.8, -45.5
3	29 Jun 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10.3, -48.1
3	30 Jun 2024 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	11, -51.6
3	30 Jun 2024 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	280000 people	11.6, -55
3	01 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 2	157	100000 people	1 million people	12.4, -58.4
3	01 Jul 2024 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	660000 people	13.3, -62
3	02 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	1.8 million people	14.4, -65.7
3	03 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 2	167	2.1 million people	5.6 million people	16.8, -73
3	04 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	19, -79

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	74000 people
Jamaica	1.9 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	74000 people
Saint Thomas	Jamaica	97000 people
Portland	Jamaica	64000 people
Saint Andrew	Jamaica	580000 people
Kingston	Jamaica	74000 people
Saint Mary	Jamaica	87000 people
Saint Catherine	Jamaica	480000 people
Saint Ann	Jamaica	160000 people
Clarendon	Jamaica	58000 people
Manchester	Jamaica	22000 people
Trelawny	Jamaica	66000 people
Saint Elizabeth	Jamaica	2100 people
Saint James	Jamaica	190000 people
Westmoreland	Jamaica	2100 people
Hanover	Jamaica	42000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Kingstown	Saint George	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	Capital	18000 people
Kingston	Saint Andrew	Jamaica	Capital	570000 people
Spanish Town	Saint Catherine	Jamaica	City	140000 people
Montego Bay	Saint James	Jamaica	City	82000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
E T Joshua	SVD	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600
J F Mitchell		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Ken Jones	POT	2	Civ.	Paved	No	3400
Norman Manley International	KIN	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8900
Tinson Pen		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Boscobel	OCJ	27	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Sangster International	MBJ	1	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8700

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Admiralty Bay		Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Kingstown	VCKTN	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Manchioneal		Jamaica
Port Morant	JMPMO	Jamaica
Morant Bay		Jamaica
Port Antonio	JMPOT	Jamaica
Kingston	JMKIN	Jamaica
Annotto Bay		Jamaica
Port Maria Bay		Jamaica
Oracabessa		Jamaica
Ocho Rios	JMOCJ	Jamaica
Saint Anns Bay		Jamaica
Port Rhoades	JMPRH	Jamaica
Rio Bueno		Jamaica
Falmouth		Jamaica
Montego Bay	JMMBJ	Jamaica
Lucea		Jamaica

Nuclear Facilities

Site Name	Type	Name	Country
Site-Mona	Research reactor	UWI CNS SLOWPOKE	Jamaica
	Research reactor	UWI CNS SLOWPOKE	United Kingdom

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Calliaqua, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2024 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (40 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 29 Jun 2024 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Calliaqua	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Saint Lawrence Gap	Barbados	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Oistins	Barbados	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Gibbons	Barbados	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Bridgetown	Barbados	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Georgetown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Holetown	Barbados	0.2
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.2
	03 Jul 2024 09:00	Saint-Jean	Haiti	0.2
	03 Jul 2024 09:00	Carrefour Meridien	Haiti	0.2
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Cujizal	Venezuela	0.2
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Palencia	Venezuela	0.2
	02 Jul 2024 15:00	Caduto	Venezuela	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Sam Lord's Castle	Barbados	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 16:00	Kingstown	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Guasare Abajo	Venezuela	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Speightstown	Barbados	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Mullins Bay	Barbados	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Collins	Barbados	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 11:00	Bathsheba	Barbados	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Ponta Curua	Brazil	0.1
	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Limao	Brazil	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Jagueicito	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Ocorote	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Rio Seco	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Algodones	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Puerto Zazarida	Venezuela	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Chateaubelair	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 17:00	Fancy	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Buritizal	Brazil	0.1
	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Igarape Grande	Brazil	0.1
	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Anajas	Brazil	0.1
	03 Jul 2024 09:00	Les Cayes	Haiti	0.1
	03 Jul 2024 09:00	Cacoq	Haiti	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Cauca	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Codore Adentro	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 13:00	Cuajaracume	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.