Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPIL-24
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPIL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 1.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (16 Aug 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)
Landfall between
15 Aug 2024 12:00 - 16 Aug 2024 12:00

in Japan

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 185 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 12 Aug 2024 12:00 185 51 million 3.5 million Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Aug 2024 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 23.6, 136.7
GREEN
1 13 Aug 2024 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.7, 137.9
GREEN
1 13 Aug 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26, 139
GREEN
1 14 Aug 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people 26.7, 139.7
GREEN
1 14 Aug 2024 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 10000 people 27.7, 140.2
GREEN
1 15 Aug 2024 12:00 Category 2 167 2.6 million people 46.9 million people 31.1, 140.3
ORANGE
1 16 Aug 2024 12:00 Category 3 185 3.5 million people 50.9 million people 35.1, 140.5 Japan
GREEN
1 17 Aug 2024 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 38.6, 144.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Japan 3.2 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Kanto Japan 3.2 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Mitsune Shizuoka Japan City -
Chikura Chiba Japan City -
Tateyama Chiba Japan City 49000 people
Ohara Chiba Japan City 20000 people
Kisarazu Chiba Japan City 120000 people
Mobara Chiba Japan City 96000 people
Katakai Chiba Japan City -
Chiba Chiba Japan Major city 920000 people
Naruto Chiba Japan City 22000 people
Sakura Chiba Japan City 180000 people
Narita Chiba Japan City 100000 people
Tako Chiba Japan City -
Choshi Chiba Japan City 84000 people
Omigawa Chiba Japan City 25000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hachijo Jima HAC 92 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Tateyama 3 0
Kisarazu 3 Mil. Paved Yes 6000
Shimoshizu 30 0
Tokyo Narita International NRT 42 Civ. Paved Yes 13100

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tori Island Japan
Aoga Island Japan
Yaene Japan
Tateyama JPTTY Japan
Kurihama JPKRH Japan
Katsuura Ko Japan
Kisarazu JPKZU Japan
Goi JPGOI Japan
Chiba JPCHB Japan
Anegasaki JPANE Japan
Choshi JPCHO Japan
Kashima JPKSM Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sakuma Sakuma Okuzuregawa 1990
Kameyamako Kameyama Obitsugawa 1980
Kori Kori Korigawa 1972
Takatakiko Takataki Yorogawa 1990
Yamakura Yamakura Yamakuragawa 1964
Kasumigaura Kasumigaura-Kaihatsu Tonegawa 1995

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Ichinomiya, Japan. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (151 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 12 Aug 2024 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ichinomiya Japan  0.6
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ohara Japan  0.6
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Katakai Japan  0.6
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Katsuura Japan  0.5
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Chiba Japan  0.5
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hasunuma Japan  0.5
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.4
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Choshi Japan  0.3
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kyuchu Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kashima Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Koya Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hokota Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Katsuori Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Taiyo Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Otake Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Muyokama Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Omi Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Okunoya Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Yatabe Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Noda Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tokawacho Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 11:00 Kamogawa Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Natsumi Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kamigama Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ogushi Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Inuwaka Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 00:00 Nakanogo Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 00:00 Sueyoshi Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shirane Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Toyooka Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kuji Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ko Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tateyama Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Olo Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kokubu Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Mizuki Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Narusawa Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tomobe Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kawaziri Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hama Japan  0.2
15 Aug 2024 19:00 Aogashima Japan  0.2
15 Aug 2024 19:00 Yasundogo Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Shiramazu Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Okawa Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Seto Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Kubo Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Shirako Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Chikura Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 00:00 Mitsune Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 00:00 Kashitate Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Hara Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hitachi Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kubota Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ueda Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Terashita Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hirakata Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Isohara Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shuku Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Yunami Japan  0.2
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Asahi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Konuma Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kembutsu Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Hongo Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 11:00 Wada Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kisara Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Fugiwara Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Nemoto Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 10:00 Kanamaru Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Soeno Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Ako Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Higashiyama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 04:00 Sato Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 04:00 Nango Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Nakumura Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Haragama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Umekawa Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Komagamine Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Iso Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Isobe Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Yamashita Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Warabi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kasano Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Hanagama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Arahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tachiya Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Obama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Onahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Aratame Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Toyoma Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Omori Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 06:00 Okubo Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Kamitsuki Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Tsubota Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Gebano Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 05:00 Mlike Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 07:00 Sashikiji Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 07:00 Kudatchi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 07:00 Habuminato Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 07:00 Senzu Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Sunosaki Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Katsuyama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ninokura Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ainokama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Oragahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tanebe Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ohahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ena Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Onaba Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kiyohashi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ido Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Arayashik Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Naraha Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Takahira Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Yotsukura Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Ide Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Tomioka Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Kayahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Futaba Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shinhama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Gamo Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
16 Aug 2024 12:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1