Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPIL-24 in Japan from 12 Aug 2024 12:00 UTC to 16 Aug 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPIL-24

in Japan

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPIL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	1.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Aug 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	12 Aug 2024 12:00	185	51 million	3.5 million	Japan
2	12 Aug 2024 18:00	185	51.1 million	40 thousand	Japan
3	13 Aug 2024 00:00	185	51.9 million	40 thousand	Japan
4	13 Aug 2024 06:00	185	52.9 million	530 thousand	Japan
5	13 Aug 2024 12:00	185	55.8 million	2.9 million	Japan
6	13 Aug 2024 18:00	185	50.4 million	270 thousand	Japan
7	14 Aug 2024 00:00	204	48.9 million	9 thousand	Japan
8	14 Aug 2024 06:00	204	47.8 million	No people	Japan
9	14 Aug 2024 12:00	194	51 million	3.8 million	Japan
10	14 Aug 2024 18:00	194	58.8 million	1.8 million	Japan
11	15 Aug 2024 00:00	213	60.4 million	5.2 million	Japan
12	15 Aug 2024 06:00	222	50.4 million	80 thousand	Japan
13	15 Aug 2024 12:00	213	49 million	1 thousand	Japan
14	15 Aug 2024 18:00	204	55.3 million	870 thousand	Japan
15	16 Aug 2024 00:00	213	54.4 million	1.2 million	Japan
16	16 Aug 2024 06:00	204	42.5 million	No people	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	12 Aug 2024 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23.6, 136.7
2	12 Aug 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	24.4, 137.9
3	13 Aug 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	24.5, 138.2
4	13 Aug 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.1, 138.5
5	13 Aug 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	25.5, 138.9
6	13 Aug 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	<1000 people	25.6, 139.5
7	14 Aug 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	2900 people	26, 140.2
8	14 Aug 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	<1000 people	26.9, 140.7
9	14 Aug 2024 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	27.6, 141.1
10	14 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	<1000 people	28.4, 141.3
11	15 Aug 2024 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	15000 people	29.7, 141.2
12	15 Aug 2024 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	250000 people	30.6, 141
13	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	26.1 million people	31.5, 140.8
14	15 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 3	185	160000 people	48.4 million people	32.5, 140.8
15	16 Aug 2024 00:00	Category 4	213	1.2 million people	51.7 million people	33.5, 140.8
16	16 Aug 2024 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	41.6 million people	34.1, 141.1
16	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	15.8 million people	35.7, 142.6
16	17 Aug 2024 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	37.2, 145.3
16	17 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	38.7, 149.5
16	18 Aug 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	40.3, 154.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tori Island		Japan

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Choshi, Japan. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2024 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (144 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 16 Aug 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Choshi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Okunoya	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Yatabe	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Aogashima	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Yasundogo	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Fushiko-tobuto	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 01:00	Hasunuma	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Kashima	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Svetloye	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 01:00	Ohara	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 01:00	Katakai	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Omi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Hamatsuga	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Aotsuka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Koya	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 21:00	Odaito	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 21:00	Tokotan	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Bekkai	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Nishi-wada	Japan	0.2
	17 Aug 2024 21:00	Moraito	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Mitsune	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Kashitate	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 20:00	Nakanogo	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 20:00	Sueyoshi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Taiyo	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Dainigorisawa	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Muyokama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Kyochikama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Kyuchu	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Hokota	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Otake	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Nemuro	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Naraha	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kami-Asamigawa	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kami-Shigeoka	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ide	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Shimo-Kitabo	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Komagamine	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Nakumura	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Tsurishi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Haragama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Tomioka	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Onaba	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kiyohashi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Oragahama	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 00:00	Ishinomura	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Katsuori	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Noda	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Tomoshiri	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Aratame	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Omori	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Takahira	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kayahama	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 07:00	Oki	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 07:00	Hyogidaira	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 07:00	Omura	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 07:00	Ogigaura	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 07:00	Sakaiura	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Ichinomiya	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Asahi Yokaichiba	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Kamigama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Shirane	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Toyooka	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Kuji	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Onirusu	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Golovnino	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 17:00	Ruchi	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 17:00	Protochnaya	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Hikiushi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 23:00	Nassafu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 23:00	Moshirikeshi	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 17:00	Churuigenya	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 17:00	Kumbetsu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 17:00	Rukushibetsu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ena	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Shimo-Takaku	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Arayashik	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Toyoma	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Umekawa	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Odaka	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 10:00	Isobe	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Futaba	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Minami-Ibi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Mizuki	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ohahama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Yotsukura	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Ako	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Higashiyama	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Okubo	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Kozushima	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Shikineshima	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Motomura	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Toshima	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Wakago	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 05:00	Katsuura	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Tokawacho	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Inuwaka	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Natsumi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Nagasuna	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Nakaminato	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Zeikomae	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 22:00	Akiajiba	Russia	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 21:00	Shibetsu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Yamashita	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Yokoyama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Sakamoto	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Iso	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Tachiya	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kubota	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ueda	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Terashita	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Hirakata	Japan	0.1
	14 Aug 2024 00:00	Higashi	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 11:00	Kamitsuki	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Tsubota	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 11:00	Gebano	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 13:00	Mlike	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 11:00	Sato	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 11:00	Nango	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Mabushi	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Sashikiji	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Kudatchi	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 12:00	Habuminato	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Asahi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Oyagaw	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Ogushi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Shibamachi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Warabi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kaikomba	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Sangenchaya	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kasano	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Hanagama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Arahama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kabasaki	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ninokura	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ainokama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Mo-chirippu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kiritappu	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Kitakubo	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Ono-Yasashi	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Yunami	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Soeno	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Obama	Japan	0.1
	17 Aug 2024 16:00	Onahama	Japan	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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