Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPIL-24 in Japan from 12 Aug 2024 12:00 UTC to 18:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for AMPIL-24

in Japan

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMPIL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	1.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (16 Aug 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 43000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	12 Aug 2024 12:00	185	51 million	3.5 million	Japan
	2	12 Aug 2024 18:00	185	51.1 million	40 thousand	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	12 Aug 2024 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23.6, 136.7
2	12 Aug 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	24.4, 137.9
2	13 Aug 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	25.6, 138.8
2	13 Aug 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	<1000 people	26.3, 139.4
2	14 Aug 2024 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	27.1, 140.1
2	14 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 1	139	<1000 people	270000 people	28.3, 140.5
2	15 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 3	185	43000 people	50.5 million people	32.3, 140.3
2	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	48.1 million people	36.3, 141.7
2	17 Aug 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	39.6, 148.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Japan	7900 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Kanto	Japan	7900 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Mitsune	Shizuoka	Japan	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tori Island		Japan
Aoga Island		Japan
Choshi	JPCHO	Japan

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Choshi, Japan. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2024 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (132 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 12 Aug 2024 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Choshi	Japan	0.4
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Okunoya	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Yatabe	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Kashima	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Kyuchu	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Koya	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Omi	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Hamatsuga	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Aotsuka	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Taiyo	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Dainigorisawa	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Muyokama	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Kyochikama	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Natsumi	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Otake	Japan	0.3
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Hokota	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Katsuori	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Noda	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Tokawacho	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Nagasuna	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Nakaminato	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Asahi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Oyagaw	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Shirane	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Toyooka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Kuji	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Narusawa	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Mizuki	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 16:00	Moto-Kawarago	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ogitsu	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tomobe	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tajirihama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kawaziri	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kawajiri	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Hama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kubota	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ueda	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Terashita	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Hirakata	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Ogushi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 15:00	Kamigama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Hitachi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ohahama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ena	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Shimo-Takaku	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Toyoma	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 07:00	Ohara	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 13:00	Inuwaka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kitakubo	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kisara	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ono-Yasashi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Isohara	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Shuku	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Aratame	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Omori	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Naraha	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kami-Asamigawa	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kami-Shigeoka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ide	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Shimo-Kitabo	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Onaba	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kiyohashi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tomioka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Oragahama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 08:00	Hasunuma	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Komagamine	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Nakumura	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tsurishi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tachiya	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Haragama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Umekawa	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Isobe	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Yunami	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 18:00	Aogashima	Japan	0.2
	15 Aug 2024 18:00	Yasundogo	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 08:00	Katakai	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Sakamoto	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Iso	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Arayashik	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Yotsukura	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Takahira	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kayahama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Tanebe	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Obama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Onahama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Futaba	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 10:00	Ichinomiya	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kasano	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Hanagama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Minami-Ibi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Yamashita	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Yokoyama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Shibamachi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Warabi	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kaikomba	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Arahama	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kabasaki	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Soeno	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Odaka	Japan	0.2
	16 Aug 2024 06:00	Asahi Yokaichiba	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 21:00	Nakanogo	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 21:00	Sueyoshi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 09:00	Katsuura	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Shimo-Masuda	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Sangenchaya	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ninokura	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ainokama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kita-Kama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Fujitsuka	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 21:00	Mitsune	Japan	0.1
	15 Aug 2024 20:00	Kashitate	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Watari	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Hayakawa	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Kashima	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Ido	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Fukanuma	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Shinhama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Wada-Shinden	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Gamo	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Shobudahama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Bogoya	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Shiogama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Tago	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Niida	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Sumiyoshi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 18:00	Namie	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Umenomiya-Jutaku	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Uenodai	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Tsukihama	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Ono	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Takagi	Japan	0.1
	16 Aug 2024 17:00	Hamaichi	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.