Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for YAGI-24
in China, Viet Nam, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YAGI-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Viet Nam, Philippines
Exposed population 31.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (06 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)
Landfall between
02 Sep 2024 00:00 - 02 Sep 2024 06:00

in Philippines

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 213 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 241 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Sep 2024 12:00 222 1.5 million 4 thousand Philippines
Green 2 01 Sep 2024 18:00 204 34.3 million No people Philippines, China
Orange 3 02 Sep 2024 00:00 204 39.2 million 340 thousand Philippines, China
Orange 4 02 Sep 2024 06:00 204 37.3 million 2.5 million Philippines, China
Red 5 02 Sep 2024 12:00 213 49.2 million 5.1 million Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Sep 2024 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 110000 people 13.5, 124.7
GREEN
2 01 Sep 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3.1 million people 14.6, 123.2
GREEN
3 02 Sep 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4.1 million people 15.2, 122.6
GREEN
4 02 Sep 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4.9 million people 16.4, 122.3 Philippines
GREEN
5 02 Sep 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 5.4 million people 17.2, 122 Philippines
GREEN
5 03 Sep 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.3 million people 18.5, 120.9 Philippines
GREEN
5 03 Sep 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 16000 people 19.1, 119.6
GREEN
5 04 Sep 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, 118.5
GREEN
5 04 Sep 2024 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 19.2, 117.3
RED
5 05 Sep 2024 12:00 Category 4 213 670000 people 14.3 million people 19, 114.4
ORANGE
5 06 Sep 2024 12:00 Category 3 194 5.1 million people 42.5 million people 19.8, 111.2
GREEN
5 07 Sep 2024 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 21, 107.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL
Population in Category 1 or higher strength
4.8 million people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL
Population in Category 1 or higher strength
1.2 million people
3.6 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.