Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KRATHON-24
in China, Philippines, Taiwan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KRATHON-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines, Taiwan
Exposed population 4.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (01 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 194 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 241 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 41000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Sep 2024 06:00 213 26.1 million 2 thousand Philippines, Japan, Taiwan, China
Orange 2 27 Sep 2024 12:00 204 58.3 million 1.1 million Taiwan
Orange 3 27 Sep 2024 18:00 185 76.8 million 70 thousand Taiwan, Japan
Green 4 28 Sep 2024 00:00 194 74 million 40 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 27 Sep 2024 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.3, 126.3
GREEN
2 27 Sep 2024 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.8, 125.9
GREEN
3 27 Sep 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.1, 125.7
GREEN
4 28 Sep 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.7, 125.8
GREEN
4 28 Sep 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18.5, 125.2
GREEN
4 29 Sep 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 140000 people 18.7, 124.6
GREEN
4 29 Sep 2024 12:00 Category 1 130 no people 1.4 million people 19, 124
GREEN
4 30 Sep 2024 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 6.5 million people 19.6, 123.5
GREEN
4 01 Oct 2024 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 50.6 million people 21, 122.8
GREEN
4 02 Oct 2024 00:00 Category 3 194 41000 people 73 million people 23, 122.7
GREEN
4 03 Oct 2024 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 25.5, 123.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Japan 35000 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Okinawa Japan 35000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 45000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hateruma HTR unknown 0
Iriomote Jima 12 0
Yonaguni OGN 21 Civ. Paved Yes 4900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Ishigaki Japan
Irionote Island Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Guhuai, China. This height is estimated for 01 Oct 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (264 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 27 Sep 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Guhuai China  0.4
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gaoshan China  0.4
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Guanjing China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Qingfeng China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chang-chiang China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chin-feng China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Zhangban China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yakou China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dongyuan China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Langqi China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Tantou China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yunlong China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Fengwo China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Baisheng China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Beicuo China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dongsha China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Lingchuan China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Wuhang China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Houtian China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yongning China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Daitou China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Sansha China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shih-shih China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Pingtan China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Mabi China  0.3
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chongwu China  0.3
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Qian'an China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsiao-tso China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Fuye China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gangkou China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Liu'ao China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Weitou China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chin-ching China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Wuqu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Meizhou China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Nanri China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Guleitou China  0.2
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 02:00 Bawa Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 02:00 Cabiraoan Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 02:00 Casambalangan Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Songcheng China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Luxia China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Tung-tai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Guanban China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Cao Yu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chihu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xucuo China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gulangyu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Daomei China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Zhenhai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Lianhe China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chu-kao-wan Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ting-hai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Anhai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shacheng China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chendai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsi-pu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chen-hai China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xiahu China  0.2
29 Sep 2024 22:00 Gonzaga Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dawu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Tung-ch'ung China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huqiu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Wutian China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shentu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Fugong China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gangwei China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chin-men Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shihu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shicheng China  0.2
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Da'ao China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Changchun China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 I-shan China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Jiangtou China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Liuwudian China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 San Shah China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yacheng China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 P'u-hsi China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Pinghai China  0.2
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xiaguan China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gexiang China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Fotan China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 An-ting Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shijing China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Tung-shih China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gongqiancun China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chencheng China  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Nakanmuan Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Sabtang Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Chavayan Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Ivana Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Mahatao Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Itbud Philippines  0.2
30 Sep 2024 10:00 Basco Philippines  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Pucheng China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsia-mei China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Songyu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xiamen China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 San-chia-shih China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chien-chiang China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hushi China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Wangchuan China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Fengwei China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gongkou China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dongshan China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dalu China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Feng-kuei-li Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 P'eng-hu-erh-ts'un Taiwan  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Longtian China  0.2
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Gangtou China  0.2
29 Sep 2024 19:00 Buguey Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dinggang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ancheng China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chengpu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Songxia China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Linshan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Beilong China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Banping China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Touyan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Zhongmen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Jiuzhen China  0.1
30 Sep 2024 11:00 Raile Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 11:00 Itbayat Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 11:00 Santa Lucia Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 10:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 10:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 10:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 10:00 Malbug Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Haikou China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dingqiao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chaoyang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huangwan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ganpu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xiabu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Longwan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Siqianjie China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hecuo China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chelim China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huanggang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Raoping China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tanza Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 08:00 Manila Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 02:00 San Vincente Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Changchuanba China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chenyu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Kanmen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Lingmen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Aohuan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Houzhai China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shenao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Nanao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Sidu China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ssu-tu China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Alacan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 07:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 08:00 Cavite Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huanglong China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 11:00 Borongan Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Ch'eng-ch'ien Taiwan  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Dituan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chiang-k'ou China  0.1
29 Sep 2024 16:00 Balza Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Huanshan China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Zhelin China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Hung-t'on Taiwan  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tanza Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chumen China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Lung-men Taiwan  0.1
29 Sep 2024 21:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.1
29 Sep 2024 21:00 Punta Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Culaba Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tabojab Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Caibiran Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Silanga Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Pagsanjan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Paet Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Daram Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Bahay Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 10:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 San Andres Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Igot Philippines  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Taipingzha China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Wantang China  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Aotou China  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 San Dionisio Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Banua Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Rarasi Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Yeh-yu Taiwan  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 I-la-la-la-k'ou Taiwan  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Songmen China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Zhapu China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Chou-chia-peng China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.1
28 Sep 2024 15:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
30 Sep 2024 09:00 Daitou China  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Linao Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Aparri Philippines  0.1
30 Sep 2024 05:00 Minabul Philippines  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chung-p'ing Taiwan  0.1
01 Oct 2024 06:00 Chiang-chun-ao Taiwan  0.1
28 Sep 2024 09:00 Tehero Philippines  0.1