Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for URMIL-26 in Vanuatu from 26 Feb 2026 18:00 UTC to 01 Mar 2026 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for URMIL-26

in Vanuatu

01 Mar 2026 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone URMIL-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Vanuatu
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	120 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Medium (Vanuatu)
Landfall	between 27 Feb 2026 06:00 - 27 Feb 2026 12:00 in Vanuatu

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	120 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 170000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 Feb 2026 18:00	120	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
2	27 Feb 2026 00:00	148	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
3	27 Feb 2026 06:00	148	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
4	27 Feb 2026 12:00	148	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
5	27 Feb 2026 18:00	139	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
6	28 Feb 2026 00:00	139	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
7	28 Feb 2026 06:00	139	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
8	28 Feb 2026 12:00	130	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
9	28 Feb 2026 18:00	111	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
10	01 Mar 2026 00:00	102	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu
11	01 Mar 2026 06:00	102	170 thousand	No people	Vanuatu

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	26 Feb 2026 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	160000 people	-18.2, 167.9
2	27 Feb 2026 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	160000 people	-18.6, 167.9
3	27 Feb 2026 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	42000 people	-19.4, 168.5
4	27 Feb 2026 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	42000 people	-19.5, 169.5	Vanuatu
5	27 Feb 2026 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	42000 people	-19.7, 170
6	28 Feb 2026 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	1900 people	-20.4, 170.7
7	28 Feb 2026 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-20.8, 171.7
8	28 Feb 2026 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-21.1, 173.2
9	28 Feb 2026 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-22.1, 175.1
10	01 Mar 2026 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-24, 177.5
11	01 Mar 2026 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-25.7, 179.2
11	01 Mar 2026 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-29.7, -175.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Vanuatu	130000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Vanuatu	Vanuatu	130000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Port-Vila		Vanuatu	Capital	36000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Futuna Island	FTA	unknown				0
Aniwa	AWD	unknown				0
Tanna Island Tanna	TAH	unknown				0
White Grass		6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Ipota	IPA	unknown				0
Dillons Bay	DLY	unknown				0
Port Vila Bauerfield	VLI	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8500
Lamap	LPM	unknown				0
Quine Hill	UIQ	unknown				0
Emae	EAE	unknown				0
Sangafa		2	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Valesdir	VLS	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aneityum Island		Vanuatu
Tana Island		Vanuatu
Forari Bay		Vanuatu
Port Vila	VUVLI	Vanuatu

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.