Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for URMIL-26
in Vanuatu
27 Feb 2026 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone URMIL-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Vanuatu
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)
    Landfall between
    27 Feb 2026 06:00 - 27 Feb 2026 12:00
    in Vanuatu

    GDACS Score

    GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
    For more info on GDACS core click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 148 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 120 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      148 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 26 Feb 2026 18:00 120 170 thousand No people Vanuatu
        Green 2 27 Feb 2026 00:00 148 170 thousand No people Vanuatu
        Green 3 27 Feb 2026 06:00 148 170 thousand No people Vanuatu
        Green 4 27 Feb 2026 12:00 148 170 thousand No people Vanuatu

        Bulletin Timeline

          Level N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Feb 2026 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 160000 people -18.2, 167.9
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Feb 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 160000 people -18.6, 167.9
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Feb 2026 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 42000 people -19.4, 168.5
          GREEN
          		 4 27 Feb 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 42000 people -19.5, 169.5 Vanuatu
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Feb 2026 00:00 Category 1 130 no people <1000 people -20, 171.5
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Feb 2026 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -21, 174.1
          GREEN
          		 4 01 Mar 2026 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -23.4, 177.7
          GREEN
          		 4 01 Mar 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -27, -177.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.