Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ARTHUR-26
in United States
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (17 Jun 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)
Landfall between
17 Jun 2026 12:00 - 18 Jun 2026 00:00

in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 1.9 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 74 km/h 1.9 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 12.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 16 Jun 2026 15:00 65 12.7 million No people United States

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 16 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 8.3 million people 27, -98
GREEN
1 17 Jun 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 10.5 million people 28.2, -95.8
GREEN
1 18 Jun 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 11.8 million people 29.6, -93.9 United States
GREEN
1 18 Jun 2026 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 31.6, -91.7 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
United States 12.6 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Texas United States 9.5 million people
Louisiana United States 2.7 million people
Mississippi United States 410000 people
Arkansas United States <1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Kingsville NAS NQI 15 Mil. Paved No 8000
Oliver Till 26 0
Bishop Municipal 17 0
Tgp 1 33 0
Dean 14 0
Old Hoppe Place 29 0
Industrial Helicopters Inc 3 0
Nueces County 24 0
Rabb Dusting Inc 25 0
Cuddihy Field CUX 12 0
Cabaniss Field Nalf NGW 10 0
Waldron Field Nalf 8 0
Corpus Christi International CRP 13 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Texas Dept. of Public Safety 11 0
High Man Tower Airstrip 27 0
D.F.C.H. 9 0
Hpl 18 0
Corpus Christi NAS NGP 6 Mil. Paved Yes 8000
Memorial Medical Center 12 0
San Patricio International 15 0
Mustang Island 3 0
Hunt 12 0
Jbh Aerospace 5 0
Magee 11 0
San Patricio County 15 0
Arrowhead 50 0
Los Ebanos Ranch 69 0
T P Mc Campbell 5 0
Mustang Beach 2 0
Aransas Pass 1 0
Coastal Bend Hospital 3 0
San Jose Island 3 0
Memorial Hospital 15 0
Beeville Municipal 82 0
Aransas County RKP 8 Civ. Paved Yes 5600
Chase Field NAS NIR 58 0
Rooke Field RFG 17 Civ. Paved No 4500
Brown Ranch 99 0
Mellon Ranch 12 0
Kalt Ranch 5 0
Aransas Natl Wldlife Refuge 3 0
Cig 804 7 0
Goliad Nalf 99 0
Porter Ranch 127 0
Gulf Coast 11 0
Karnes County 89 0
Whatley Flying Service 6 0
Green Lake Ranch 15 0
Tanner's 5 0
Port O'connor Base (Ehi) 2 0
Cig 806 7 0
Yorktown 73 0
Victoria Bank & Trust Motor Garage 35 0
Air Logistics 2 0
Big Duke's Place 2 0
Calhoun County 10 0
Citizens Medical Center 29 0
Ball 38 0
County - Foster VCT 35 Civ. Paved Yes 9100
Lempa 75 0
Pierce Field 2 0
Cuero Municipal 65 0
Cuero Community Hospital 64 0
Wolf Point 4 0
Sartwelle Ranch 5 0
Joye Ranch 85 0
Matagorda Peninsula 3 0
Whites 13 0
Dobbs Ranch 52 0
Kubecka Aviation 6 0
Palacios Municipal PSX 5 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
Kubecka Flying Service Inc. 20 0
Hahns 16 0
Trull 5 0
Jackson County 19 0
Yoakum Municipal 112 0
Calaway 23 0
Pearson Ranch Private 107 0
Fenner Ranch 38 0
South Texas Project 10 0
Gerum Farm 130 0
Flying V Ranch 18 0
Stovall Ranch Nr 1 33 0
Matagorda Shore Facility 2 0
Hallettsville Municipal 84 0
Smith Aviation Inc 23 0
Norris Raun Ranch 33 0
Gonzales Municipal 108 0
W D Cornilius Ranch 14 0
Dean Ranch 122 0
El Campo Metro Airport Inc. 32 0
Station 24 17 0
Cig 809 16 0
Fehmel Dusting Service 15 0
Galaxy Ranch 54 0
Thompson Flyers 29 0
Moulton Municipal 114 0
El Campo Airpark 39 0
Rodgers Roost 39 0
Lesikar Ranch 84 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Corpus Christi USCRP Wake Island
Ingleside Wake Island
Port Ingleside Wake Island
Port Aransas Wake Island
Rockport Wake Island
Port O'Connor Wake Island
Point Comfort USPCR Wake Island
Port Lavaca USPLV Wake Island
Palacios Wake Island
Freeport USFRP Wake Island
Galveston USGLS Wake Island
Houston Wake Island
Texas City USTXT Wake Island
Pasadena USPSD Wake Island
Port Adams USNSW Wake Island
Port Bolivar Wake Island
Baytown USHPY Wake Island
Sabine USSAB Wake Island
Parlier USPAR Wake Island
Port Arthur USPOA Wake Island
Beaumont USBPT Wake Island
Smith's Bluff USSML Wake Island
Port Neches USPON Wake Island
Atreco USATR Wake Island
Orange USORG Wake Island
Cameron USCXM Wake Island
Haymark Terminal Wake Island
Lake Charles USLCH Wake Island
Mars USXJB Wake Island
Morgan City USMGN Wake Island
Plaquemine USPLQ Wake Island
Saint Gabriel Wake Island
Donaldsonville USDNA Wake Island
Baton Rouge USBTR Wake Island
Geismar USGSM Wake Island
Saint James Wake Island
Burnside Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Lake Corpus Christi Wesley E. Seale Dam Nueces River 1958
Coleto Creek Dam Coleto Creek 1980
Prudential Reservoir 3 Trib. Kellers Creek 1976
Palmetto Bend Dam Navidad River 1981
Cooling Reservoir Dam Offstream Colorado River 1981
Brazoria Reservoir Dam Offstream Brazos River 1954
William Harris Reservoir Dam Offstream Oyster Creek 1947
Cedar Creek Dam Cedar Creek 1977
Lake George Smithers Lake Dam Dry Creek 1957
Lake Houston Dam San Jacinto River 1954
Cedar Bayou Generating Pond Levee Cedar Bayou 1972
Lake Conroe Conroe Dam West Fork of San Jacinto River 1973
Gibbons Creek Dam Gibbons Creek 1981
Lake Anahuac Levee Turtle Bayou n/a
Lewis Creek Dam Lewis Creek 1969
Lake Livingston Livingston Dam Trinity River 1969
B.A. Steinhagen Lake Town Bluff Dam Neches River 1951
Lake Kurth Dam Trib. Angelina River 1960
Sam Rayburn Reservoir Sam Rayburn Dam And Reservoir Angelina River 1965
Toledo Bend Toledo Bend Sabine 1966
Bundicks Lake Bundicks Creek Dam Bundicks Creek 1961
Lake Anacoco Lower Anacoco Dam Bayou Anacoco 1951
Vernon Lake Vernon Lake Dam Bayou Anacoco 1961
Millers Lake Millers Lake Trib. Bayou des Cannes 1947
Chicot Lake Chicot Lake Dam Bayou Chicot 1953
Cotile Lake Cotile Lake Dam Cotile Creek 1965
Kincaid Lake Kincaid Reservoir Trib. Bayou Boeuf 1972
Indian Creek Indian Creek Dam Indian Creek 1972
Sibley Lake Sibley Lake Dam Youngs Bayou 1962
Nantachie Lake Dam Bayou Nantachie 1964
John K. Kelly Grand Bayou Reservoir Grand Bayou Reservoir Dam Grand Bayou 1994
Iatt Lake Iatt Lake Dam Bayou Rigolette 1957
Black Lake Bayou Reservoir Black Lake Bayou Dam Black Lake Bayou 1990
Kepler Creek Lake Kepler Creek Dam Kepler Creek 1958
False River Spillway False River 1948
Larto Lake Dam Larto Bayou 1959
Caney Lake Caney Creek Dam Caney Creek 1986
Turkey Creek Dam Trib. Turkey Creek 1953
Bayou Darbonne Reservoir Bayou Darbonne Dam Bayou Darbonne 1961
Black Bayou Lake Hannas Run Dam Trib. Bayou Besiard 1932

Nuclear Facilities

Site Name Type Name Country
Site-Kleberg Nuclear Fuel Cycle Kingsville Dome United States of America
Site-South Texas Nuclear Power Reactor South Texas-1 United States of America
Site-South Texas Nuclear Power Reactor South Texas-2 United States of America
Site-River Bend Nuclear Fuel Cycle River Bend NPP Site United States of America
Site-River Bend Nuclear Power Reactor River Bend United States of America
Site-Grand Gulf Nuclear Power Reactor Grand Gulf-1 United States of America
Site-Grand Gulf Nuclear Fuel Cycle Grand Gulf NPP Site ISFSI United States of America

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.9m in Nadeau, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (135 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 16 Jun 2026 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Nadeau United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Texas City Junction United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Bayou Vista United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Texas City United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Anderson Ways United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Virginia Point United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Port Bolivar United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Fort Travis United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Flake United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Elmgrove United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Crystal Beach United States  1.9
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  1.7
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  1.6
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Constance Beach United States  1.6
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Peveto Beach United States  1.6
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Holly Beach United States  1.6
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Galveston United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 21:00 High Island United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Cameron United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Patton United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Caplen United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Gilchrist United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Oak Grove United States  1.3
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Jamaica Beach United States  1.2
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Grand Chenier United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Mims United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Hoskins United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Port Morris United States  1.2
18 Jun 2026 03:00 Intracoastal City United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Red Fish Cove United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Bay Harbor United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Sea Isle United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Hoskins United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Valasco Heights United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Freeport United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Surfside Beach United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Quintana United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Surfside United States  1.0
18 Jun 2026 02:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  1.0
18 Jun 2026 03:00 South Bend United States  1.0
18 Jun 2026 03:00 Ellerstie United States  1.0
18 Jun 2026 03:00 Gordy United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Gulf Park United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 09:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 09:00 Palacios United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 10:00 Matagorda United States  0.7
17 Jun 2026 10:00 Chinquapin United States  0.7
17 Jun 2026 05:00 Spanish Village United States  0.5
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Estes United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Rockport United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Copano Village United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 03:00 Fulton United States  0.4
17 Jun 2026 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Leeville United States  0.3
17 Jun 2026 01:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
17 Jun 2026 01:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.3
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.3
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.3
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 23:00 West Point United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Breton United States  0.2
16 Jun 2026 20:00 Yarborough United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Hilda United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Gautier United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Ostrica United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Buras United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Neptune United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.2
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Boothville United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Coden United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 23:00 Nelson United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 02:00 Duvic United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Oak United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Swift United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Miffin United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Burrwood United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Gasque United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Surf United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Port Eads United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Fish Creek United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Steinhatchee United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Jena United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Horseshoe Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Shired Island United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 04:00 Suwannee United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 05:00 Cedar Key United States  0.1