Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ARTHUR-26
in United States
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (17 Jun 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)
Landfall between
16 Jun 2026 15:00 - 16 Jun 2026 21:00

in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 74 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 14.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 16 Jun 2026 15:00 65 12.7 million No people United States
Green 2 16 Jun 2026 21:00 65 11 million No people United States
Green 3 17 Jun 2026 03:00 65 10.2 million No people United States
Green 4 17 Jun 2026 09:00 65 13.6 million No people United States
Green 5 17 Jun 2026 15:00 65 14.1 million No people United States

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 16 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 8.3 million people 27, -98
GREEN
2 16 Jun 2026 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27.3, -97.6 United States
GREEN
3 17 Jun 2026 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27.6, -97.1 United States
GREEN
4 17 Jun 2026 09:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 10.8 million people 28, -96.7 United States
GREEN
5 17 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 14.1 million people 28.6, -95.8 United States
GREEN
5 18 Jun 2026 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 30, -94.2 United States
GREEN
5 18 Jun 2026 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 31.9, -91.6 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
United States 14.1 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Texas United States 12.9 million people
Louisiana United States 1.2 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Matagorda Shore Facility 2 0
South Texas Project 10 0
Matagorda Peninsula 3 0
Fay Ranch 8 0
Bay City Municipal BBC 14 0
Fehmel Dusting Service 15 0
Trull 5 0
Palacios Municipal PSX 5 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
W D Cornilius Ranch 14 0
Eagle Air Park 5 0
Cig 809 16 0
Pierce Field 2 0
Station 24 17 0
Sartwelle Ranch 5 0
Ag Aviation 15 0
Kubecka Aviation 6 0
Brazoria H Ferry BZT unknown 0
M-I Drilling Fluids Company 2 0
Wolf Point 4 0
Air Logistics 2 0
Hercules Marine Services Corp 1 0
Columbia Lakes 9 0
Brazoria County LJN 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
Smith Aviation Inc 23 0
Phillips Corporation 9 0
Air Logistics - Freeport 31 0
Port O'connor Base (Ehi) 2 0
Cameron 8 0
Big Duke's Place 2 0
Whites 13 0
Bailes 6 0
Thompson Flyers 29 0
Newgulf 21 0
Intermedics 10 0
Lackey Aviation 27 0
Clover Lake Farms 12 0
Wharton Municipal WHT 30 0
Flying V Ranch 18 0
El Campo Metro Airport Inc. 32 0
Tanner's 5 0
H & S Airfield 30 0
Hahns 16 0
Flyin Tiger 9 0
Shanks Ag Strip 30 0
Salaika Aviation 9 0
Prairie Aire Field 20 0
Calhoun County 10 0
Cig 806 7 0
Calaway 23 0
Garrett Ranch 9 0
Flying C Ranch 21 0
Gulf Coast Medical Center 34 0
Jackson County 19 0
El Campo Airpark 39 0
Bb Airpark 15 0
Kubecka Flying Service Inc. 20 0
Station 30 35 0
Amoco 4 0
Toy Airpark 11 0
Rodgers Roost 39 0
Norris Raun Ranch 33 0
Whatley Flying Service 6 0
Minard Pegasus 8 0
Bayless 15 0
Songbird Ranch 10 0
Purdy-Nielsen Memorial Airpark 32 0
Aviasud Airpark 30 0
J-D Ranch 10 0
Stovall Ranch Nr 1 33 0
Happy Landings 32 0
Lane Airpark 29 0
Cig 812 15 0
Green Lake Ranch 15 0
Alvin Airpark 13 0
Helitrans 17 0
Houston Southwest 20 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
Creasy 7 0
Gulf Coast 11 0
Golden Pegasus Ranch 9 0
Wolfe Air Park 17 0
Polly Ryon Memorial Hospital 30 0
Tgp 17 40 0
Fenner Ranch 38 0
Community Hospital 21 0
D W C 12 0
Pee Wee's 9 0
Flyin' B 21 0
Kami-Kazi 8 0
Hhi Hitchcock 3 0
Diehl Ranch 8 0
Aransas Natl Wldlife Refuge 3 0
County - Foster VCT 35 Civ. Paved Yes 9100
Rebel Field 9 0
Life Flight (refuel) 20 0
Swinging Door 27 0
Houston Airpark 15 0
Kaneb 37 0
Johnnie Volk Field 4 0
Sugar Land Municipal SGR 25 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
Greater Houston Soaring Assn 38 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Palacios Wake Island
Freeport USFRP Wake Island
Port O'Connor Wake Island
Point Comfort USPCR Wake Island
Port Lavaca USPLV Wake Island
Galveston USGLS Wake Island
Texas City USTXT Wake Island
Port Bolivar Wake Island
Houston Wake Island
Pasadena USPSD Wake Island
Rockport Wake Island
Port Adams USNSW Wake Island
Baytown USHPY Wake Island
Port Aransas Wake Island
Port Ingleside Wake Island
Ingleside Wake Island
Corpus Christi USCRP Wake Island
Sabine USSAB Wake Island
Parlier USPAR Wake Island
Port Arthur USPOA Wake Island
Beaumont USBPT Wake Island
Smith's Bluff USSML Wake Island
Port Neches USPON Wake Island
Atreco USATR Wake Island
Orange USORG Wake Island
Cameron USCXM Wake Island
Haymark Terminal Wake Island
Lake Charles USLCH Wake Island
Mars USXJB Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Cooling Reservoir Dam Offstream Colorado River 1981
Brazoria Reservoir Dam Offstream Brazos River 1954
Prudential Reservoir 3 Trib. Kellers Creek 1976
William Harris Reservoir Dam Offstream Oyster Creek 1947
Palmetto Bend Dam Navidad River 1981
Lake George Smithers Lake Dam Dry Creek 1957
Coleto Creek Dam Coleto Creek 1980
Lake Houston Dam San Jacinto River 1954
Cedar Bayou Generating Pond Levee Cedar Bayou 1972
Lake Anahuac Levee Turtle Bayou n/a
Cedar Creek Dam Cedar Creek 1977
Lake Conroe Conroe Dam West Fork of San Jacinto River 1973
Somerville Dam Yegua Creek 1967
Lewis Creek Dam Lewis Creek 1969
Lake Corpus Christi Wesley E. Seale Dam Nueces River 1958
Gibbons Creek Dam Gibbons Creek 1981
Lake Bastrop Dam Spicer Creek 1964
Lake Livingston Livingston Dam Trinity River 1969
Choke Canyon Choke Canyon Frio River 1981
Bryan Utilities Lake Dam Trib. Thompsons Creek 1975
Alcoa Lake Dam Sandy Creek 1952
Decker Lake Decker Creek Dam Decker Creek 1967
Calaveras Creek Dam Calaveras Creek 1969
Victor Braunig Dam Arroyo Seco 1963
Tom Miller Dam Colorado River 1939
Canyon Lake Guadalupe River 1964
Laneport Reservoir Granger Dam San Gabriel River 1979
Camp Creek Lake Dam Camp Creek 1949
B.A. Steinhagen Lake Town Bluff Dam Neches River 1951
Twin Oak Dam Duck Creek 1982
Houston County Lake Dam Little Elkhart Creek 1966
Sam Rayburn Reservoir Sam Rayburn Dam And Reservoir Angelina River 1965
Lake Kurth Dam Trib. Angelina River 1960
Bayou Loco Dam Bayou Loco 1977
Bundicks Lake Bundicks Creek Dam Bundicks Creek 1961
Toledo Bend Toledo Bend Sabine 1966
Lake Anacoco Lower Anacoco Dam Bayou Anacoco 1951
Buckner Dam Gum Creek 1957
Vernon Lake Vernon Lake Dam Bayou Anacoco 1961
Lake Striker Dam Striker Creek 1956
Lake Murvaul Murvaul Bayou Dam Murvaul Bayou 1956
Millers Lake Millers Lake Trib. Bayou des Cannes 1947
Chicot Lake Chicot Lake Dam Bayou Chicot 1953
Cotile Lake Cotile Lake Dam Cotile Creek 1965
Indian Creek Indian Creek Dam Indian Creek 1972
Kincaid Lake Kincaid Reservoir Trib. Bayou Boeuf 1972
Sibley Lake Sibley Lake Dam Youngs Bayou 1962
Nantachie Lake Dam Bayou Nantachie 1964
Iatt Lake Iatt Lake Dam Bayou Rigolette 1957

Nuclear Facilities

Site Name Type Name Country
Site-South Texas Nuclear Power Reactor South Texas-1 United States of America
Site-South Texas Nuclear Power Reactor South Texas-2 United States of America
Site-Karnes Nuclear Fuel Cycle Hobson United States of America
Site-College Station Research reactor NSCR Texas A&M Univ. United States of America
Site-College Station Research reactor AGN-201 Texas A&M Univ. United States of America
Site-Kleberg Nuclear Fuel Cycle Kingsville Dome United States of America
Site-Austin Research reactor TRIGA II Univ. Texas United States of America

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Flake, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2026 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (78 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 17 Jun 2026 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Flake United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Elmgrove United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Crystal Beach United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Nadeau United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Texas City Junction United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Bayou Vista United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Texas City United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Virginia Point United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Port Bolivar United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Fort Travis United States  1.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Anderson Ways United States  1.4
17 Jun 2026 17:00 High Island United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Jamaica Beach United States  1.2
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Constance Beach United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Peveto Beach United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Holly Beach United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Cameron United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 13:00 Matagorda United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 13:00 Chinquapin United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Patton United States  1.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Gilchrist United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Caplen United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 14:00 Gulf Park United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Mims United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Hoskins United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Port Morris United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 14:00 Valasco Heights United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 14:00 Freeport United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Oak Grove United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Hoskins United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Grand Chenier United States  1.0
17 Jun 2026 15:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Sea Isle United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Galveston United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 13:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 13:00 Palacios United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 17:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Quintana United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 16:00 Surfside United States  0.9
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.6
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Intracoastal City United States  0.6
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Gordy United States  0.5
17 Jun 2026 22:00 South Bend United States  0.5
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Ellerstie United States  0.5
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Leeville United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 11:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 20:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.2
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Hilda United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Gautier United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 19:00 West Point United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 22:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 18:00 Pascagoula United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Breton United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Buras United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Neptune United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 21:00 Boothville United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 19:00 Duvic United States  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 01:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 02:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2026 00:00 Cedar Key United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 12:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
17 Jun 2026 12:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1