Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHANTAL-13
in Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHANTAL-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JRC)
Exposed countries Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Jul 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Haiti)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 74 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

74 km/h Current

Up to no people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Jul 2013 03:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Orange 2 08 Jul 2013 09:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Green 3 08 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Green 4 08 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
Green 5 09 Jul 2013 03:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Barbados, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
Green 6 09 Jul 2013 09:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Barbados, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
Green 7 09 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico
Green 8 09 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas, Puerto Rico
Green 9 10 Jul 2013 03:00 93 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas
Green 10 10 Jul 2013 09:00 74 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 7/8/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 9.8, -47.2
green
2 7/8/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 10.4, -49.5
green
3 7/8/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 10.9, -51.7
green
4 7/8/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11.8, -53.9
green
5 7/9/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 12.4, -56.1 Barbados
green
6 7/9/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 13.3, -58.4 Barbados, Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
green
7 7/9/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.4, -61.5 Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
green
8 7/9/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 15.2, -63.7 Puerto Rico
green
9 7/10/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.3, -66.2
green
10 7/10/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.5, -69.5 Haiti, Dominican Republic
green
10 7/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 17.8, -72.3 Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic
green
10 7/11/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.5, -75.7
green
10 7/11/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, -78.5
green
10 7/12/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.8, -79.5
green
10 7/13/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -80
green
10 7/14/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 31, -81
green
10 7/15/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 32.5, -82
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Haiti Grand Anse -
Haiti Nord-Ouest 390000 people
Haiti Sud 630000 people
Cuba Guantanamo 520000 people
Cuba Granma 820000 people
Cuba Holguin 1 million people
Cuba Santiago de Cuba 1 million people
United States Guantanamo Bay -
Haiti Artibonite 960000 people
Haiti Centre 460000 people
Haiti Ouest 2.2 million people
Haiti Sud-Est 440000 people
Dominican Republic Baoruco 94000 people
Dominican Republic Barahona 160000 people
Dominican Republic Independencia 46000 people
Dominican Republic La Estrelleta 65000 people
Dominican Republic Pedernales 20000 people
Dominican Republic San Juan 280000 people
Dominican Republic Azua 210000 people
Dominican Republic Peravia 200000 people
Dominican Republic San Cristobal 160000 people
Barbados Barbados 260000 people
Dominica Dominica 70000 people
Saint Lucia St. Lucia 140000 people
Martinique Martinique 370000 people
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines St. Vincent & the Grenadines 110000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 88000 people
Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 12000 people
Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 17000 people
Port-au-Prince Ouest Haiti Capital 1.2 million people
Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 16000 people
Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 96000 people
Saint-Marc Artibonite Haiti City 65000 people
Pétionville Ouest Haiti City 90000 people
Neiba Baoruco Dominican Republic City -
Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
Petit-Goave Ouest Haiti City -
Vicente Noble Barahona Dominican Republic City 10000 people
Duvergé Independencia Dominican Republic City 9800 people
Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 57000 people
Cabral Barahona Dominican Republic City 12000 people
Jacmel Sud-Est Haiti City 33000 people
Barahona Barahona Dominican Republic City 76000 people
Jérémie Grand'Anse Haiti City 29000 people
Les Cayes Sud Haiti City 58000 people
Palma Soriano Santiago de Cuba Cuba City 100000 people
Guantánamo Guantánamo Cuba City 260000 people
Santiago de Cuba Santiago de Cuba Cuba City 540000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Toro, Cuba. This height is estimated for 11 Jul 2013 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 10 Jul 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Toro Cuba  0.3
11 Jul 2013 19:00 Jucaro Cuba  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.2
11 Jul 2013 19:00 Playa Santa Maria Cuba  0.2
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
09 Jul 2013 15:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.1
11 Jul 2013 21:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.1
11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Caney Cuba  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 15:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 11:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Lero Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2013 14:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
09 Jul 2013 15:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1