Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OCTAVE-13
in Mexico
15 Oct 2013 15 UTC
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  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone OCTAVE-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
      Maximum storm surge n.a.
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
      Overall 101 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        56 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 82000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 13 Oct 2013 03:00 74 No people No people
          Green 2 13 Oct 2013 09:00 84 No people No people
          Green 3 13 Oct 2013 15:00 84 No people No people
          Green 4 13 Oct 2013 21:00 101 No people No people
          Green 5 14 Oct 2013 03:00 101 No people No people
          Green 6 14 Oct 2013 09:00 101 No people No people
          Green 7 14 Oct 2013 15:00 93 No people No people Mexico
          Green 8 14 Oct 2013 21:00 84 No people No people Mexico
          Green 9 15 Oct 2013 03:00 64 No people No people Mexico
          Green 10 15 Oct 2013 09:00 56 No people No people
          Green 11 15 Oct 2013 15:00 56 No people No people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 10/13/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.1, -110.2
            green
            		 2 10/13/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.1, -111
            green
            		 3 10/13/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 18.3, -112.1
            green
            		 4 10/13/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 19.2, -112.7
            green
            		 5 10/14/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 20.6, -113.7
            green
            		 6 10/14/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 21.6, -113.9
            green
            		 7 10/14/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.6, -113.7
            green
            		 8 10/14/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people 66000 people 24.1, -113.4 Mexico
            green
            		 9 10/15/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people 82000 people 25.1, -112.5 Mexico
            green
            		 10 10/15/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25.5, -112 Mexico
            green
            		 11 10/15/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25.4, -110.8 Mexico
            green
            		 11 10/16/2013 Tropical depression 47 no people no people 26, -110.3 Mexico
            green
            		 11 10/16/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 26.7, -109.9 Mexico
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Baja California Sur

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Villa Constitución Baja California Sur Mexico City -

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.