Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PRISCILLA-13 Off-shore from 14 Oct 2013 09:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2013 15:00 UTC

15 Oct 2013 15 UTC

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Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PRISCILLA-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	64 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

64 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	14 Oct 2013 09:00	84	No people	No people
2	14 Oct 2013 15:00	93	No people	No people
3	14 Oct 2013 21:00	84	No people	No people
4	15 Oct 2013 03:00	64	No people	No people
5	15 Oct 2013 09:00	64	No people	No people
6	15 Oct 2013 15:00	64	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	10/14/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	14.3, -115.7
2	10/14/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.2, -115.5
3	10/14/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.7, -115.8
4	10/15/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	16.2, -115.8
5	10/15/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	17.1, -116
6	10/15/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	17.4, -116.5
6	10/16/2013	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.9, -117.4
6	10/16/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.6, -118.7
6	10/17/2013	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	19.2, -119.9
6	10/17/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	19.7, -120.7
6	10/18/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	19.6, -122.1

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.