Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-13
in Somalia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JRC)
Exposed countries Somalia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 84 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability -- (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 64 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 84 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

64 km/h Current

Up to 160000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Nov 2013 18:00 84 No people No people
Green 2 09 Nov 2013 00:00 84 No people No people Ethiopia, Somalia
Green 3 09 Nov 2013 06:00 84 No people No people Ethiopia, Somalia
Green 4 09 Nov 2013 12:00 84 No people No people Ethiopia, Somalia
Green 5 09 Nov 2013 18:00 84 No people No people Somalia
Green 6 10 Nov 2013 00:00 74 No people No people Somalia
Green 7 10 Nov 2013 06:00 74 No people No people Somalia
Green 8 10 Nov 2013 12:00 64 No people No people
Green 9 10 Nov 2013 18:00 64 No people No people
Green 10 11 Nov 2013 00:00 64 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 11/8/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 7.9, 54
green
2 11/9/2013 Tropical storm 64 no people no people 8, 53
green
3 11/9/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 <1000 people no people 8, 52.3 Somalia
green
4 11/9/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 7500 people no people 7.9, 51.7 Somalia
green
5 11/9/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 8, 52.3
green
6 11/10/2013 Tropical storm 74 4100 people no people 8, 51.7 Somalia
green
7 11/10/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 9500 people no people 7.9, 51.8 Somalia
green
8 11/10/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 9000 people no people 8.2, 51.5 Somalia
green
9 11/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 88000 people no people 8.4, 50.9 Somalia
green
10 11/11/2013 Tropical storm 64 160000 people no people 8.4, 50 Somalia
green
10 11/11/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 8.6, 48.8 Somalia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Somalia Bari 430000 people
Somalia Nugaal 210000 people
Somalia Sool -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.