Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARTY-15
in Mexico
30 Sep 2015 03 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MARTY-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 440000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 111 No people No people
        Green 3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 111 No people No people Mexico
        Green 8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 111 No people No people Mexico
        Green 9 28 Sep 2015 21:00 130 No people No people Mexico
        Green 10 29 Sep 2015 03:00 120 No people No people Mexico
        Green 11 29 Sep 2015 09:00 102 No people No people Mexico
        Green 12 29 Sep 2015 15:00 93 No people No people Mexico
        Green 13 29 Sep 2015 21:00 83 No people No people Mexico
        Green 14 30 Sep 2015 03:00 83 No people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.3, -103
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -103
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.3, -103.1
          GREEN
          		 4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.9, -102.8
          GREEN
          		 5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.1, -102.9
          GREEN
          		 6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.3, -103
          GREEN
          		 7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.6, -103
          GREEN
          		 8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.1, -103
          GREEN
          		 9 28 Sep 2015 21:00 Category 1 130 no people 440000 people 16.7, -102.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 29 Sep 2015 03:00 Category 1 120 no people 230000 people 16.7, -102 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 11 29 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 44000 people 16.4, -101.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 12 29 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.2, -101.6
          GREEN
          		 13 29 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 100000 people 16.3, -101.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 14 30 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 100000 people 16.3, -101.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 14 30 Sep 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.4, -101.8
          GREEN
          		 14 01 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, -102.8
          GREEN
          		 14 01 Oct 2015 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.7, -104.4
          GREEN
          		 14 02 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 16.8, -105.5
          GREEN
          		 14 03 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 17, -107.3
          GREEN
          		 14 04 Oct 2015 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 18.5, -109.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          Mexico Guerrero
          Mexico Michoacan

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Petatlán Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people
          Tecpan Guerrero Mexico City 14000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 30 Sep 2015 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)