Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLAF-15
Off-shore
20 Oct 2015 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone OLAF-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      250 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 15 Oct 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
        Green 2 15 Oct 2015 09:00 167 No people No people
        Green 3 15 Oct 2015 15:00 176 No people No people
        Green 4 15 Oct 2015 21:00 167 No people No people
        Green 5 16 Oct 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
        Green 6 16 Oct 2015 09:00 157 No people No people
        Green 7 16 Oct 2015 15:00 157 No people No people
        Green 8 16 Oct 2015 21:00 176 No people No people
        Green 9 17 Oct 2015 03:00 176 No people No people
        Green 10 17 Oct 2015 09:00 185 No people No people
        Green 11 17 Oct 2015 15:00 185 No people No people
        Green 12 17 Oct 2015 21:00 185 No people No people
        Green 13 18 Oct 2015 03:00 185 No people No people
        Green 14 18 Oct 2015 09:00 204 No people No people
        Green 15 18 Oct 2015 15:00 204 No people No people
        Green 16 18 Oct 2015 21:00 194 No people No people
        Green 17 19 Oct 2015 03:00 204 No people No people
        Green 18 19 Oct 2015 09:00 204 No people No people
        Green 19 19 Oct 2015 15:00 231 No people No people
        Green 20 19 Oct 2015 21:00 231 No people No people
        Green 21 20 Oct 2015 03:00 231 No people No people
        Green 22 20 Oct 2015 09:00 250 No people No people
        Green 23 20 Oct 2015 15:00 250 No people No people
        Green 24 20 Oct 2015 21:00 250 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.9, -117.8
          GREEN
          		 2 15 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -119.2
          GREEN
          		 3 15 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -119.5
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.1, -120.9
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.2, -122.1
          GREEN
          		 6 16 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.1, -123.5
          GREEN
          		 7 16 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.7, -125.2
          GREEN
          		 8 16 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.5, -126.2
          GREEN
          		 9 17 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.7, -127.6
          GREEN
          		 10 17 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9.5, -128.5
          GREEN
          		 11 17 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.4, -129.5
          GREEN
          		 12 17 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.2, -130.5
          GREEN
          		 13 18 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 9.2, -131
          GREEN
          		 14 18 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 9.4, -131.9
          GREEN
          		 15 18 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 9.5, -133.2
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 9.7, -134.3
          GREEN
          		 17 19 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 9.7, -135.4
          GREEN
          		 18 19 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 10, -136.4
          GREEN
          		 19 19 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 9.9, -137.7
          GREEN
          		 20 19 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 10, -138.7
          GREEN
          		 21 20 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 10.1, -139.5
          GREEN
          		 22 20 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.3, -140.4
          GREEN
          		 23 20 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.6, -141.3
          GREEN
          		 24 20 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.8, -142.1
          GREEN
          		 24 21 Oct 2015 06:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 11.2, -143.4
          GREEN
          		 24 21 Oct 2015 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 12.2, -144.7
          GREEN
          		 24 22 Oct 2015 06:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 13.5, -145.7
          GREEN
          		 24 22 Oct 2015 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 14.8, -146.3
          GREEN
          		 24 23 Oct 2015 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 17.5, -147
          GREEN
          		 24 24 Oct 2015 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.3, -146.6
          GREEN
          		 24 25 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 22.8, -145.1
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 51 of 27 Oct 2015 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)