Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16
in China, Philippines
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 148 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 269 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 22.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 250 No people No people Philippines
Red 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 250 390 thousand 390 thousand Philippines
Red 3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 259 1.4 million 1.4 million Philippines
Red 4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 259 2.3 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 259 3 million 3 million Philippines
Red 6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 259 5.3 million 5.3 million Philippines
Red 7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 259 4.3 million 4.3 million Philippines
Red 8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 231 2.6 million 2.6 million Philippines, China
Red 9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 269 11.1 million 11.1 million Philippines, China
Red 10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 269 12 million 12 million Philippines, China
Red 11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 269 5.8 million 5.8 million Philippines, China
Red 12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 241 14.1 million 14.1 million Philippines, China
Red 13 17 Oct 2016 18:00 250 29.3 million 29.3 million Philippines, China
Red 14 18 Oct 2016 00:00 231 23.6 million 23.6 million Philippines, China
Red 15 18 Oct 2016 06:00 241 25.7 million 25.7 million Philippines, China
Red 16 18 Oct 2016 12:00 259 15.9 million 15.9 million Philippines, China
Red 17 18 Oct 2016 18:00 269 11.7 million 11.7 million Philippines, China
Red 18 19 Oct 2016 00:00 241 14.4 million 14.4 million Philippines, China
Red 19 19 Oct 2016 06:00 250 25 million 25 million Philippines, China
Red 20 19 Oct 2016 12:00 222 28.2 million 28.2 million Philippines, China
Red 21 19 Oct 2016 18:00 185 14.7 million 14.7 million Philippines, China
Orange 22 20 Oct 2016 00:00 176 13.2 million 13.2 million Philippines, China
Orange 23 20 Oct 2016 06:00 148 10.7 million 10.7 million Philippines, China
Orange 24 20 Oct 2016 12:00 139 12.3 million 12.3 million Philippines, China
Orange 25 20 Oct 2016 18:00 148 21.8 million 21.8 million China, Philippines
Orange 26 21 Oct 2016 00:00 148 22.7 million 22.7 million China, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 <1000 people no people 7.9, 144.4
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, 143.8
GREEN
3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9, 142.3
GREEN
4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 1000 people no people 9.5, 141.3
GREEN
5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 10000 people no people 9.9, 140.3
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 10000 people no people 10.1, 139.5
GREEN
7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 1 130 10000 people no people 10.5, 138.9
GREEN
8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 139 10000 people no people 11, 138.8
GREEN
9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 12.2, 137.8
GREEN
10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 12.9, 136.5
GREEN
11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 13.3, 135.5
GREEN
12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 13.8, 134.5
GREEN
13 17 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14.4, 133.3
GREEN
14 18 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14.9, 132.1
GREEN
15 18 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 15.4, 130.6
GREEN
16 18 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 15.7, 129.1
GREEN
17 18 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 5 269 8.4 million people no people 16, 127.5 Philippines
ORANGE
18 19 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 5 259 54.4 million people 67000 people 16, 126 Philippines
RED
19 19 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 4 250 51.4 million people 3.5 million people 16.7, 124.7 Philippines
RED
20 19 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 222 45.6 million people 4.9 million people 17.3, 123.2 Philippines
RED
21 19 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 3 185 43.6 million people 4.2 million people 17.9, 121.5 Philippines
ORANGE
22 20 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 2 176 46.7 million people 1.6 million people 18.4, 120.3 Philippines
GREEN
23 20 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 2 167 36.1 million people no people 19, 118.8 China
GREEN
24 20 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 2 157 79.9 million people no people 19.8, 117.6 China
ORANGE
25 20 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 1 148 95.7 million people 9.7 million people 20.7, 116.7 China
ORANGE
26 21 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 148 117.9 million people 17.9 million people 22, 115.8 China
GREEN
26 21 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 102 105.6 million people no people 24.5, 115.2 China
GREEN
26 22 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.1, 116.5 China
GREEN
26 22 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29.2, 119.7 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Guangdong China 69.6 million people
Jiangxi China 41.7 million people
Ilocos Philippines 3.5 million people
Cagayan Valley Philippines 2.3 million people
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines 1.1 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Jieshi Guangdong China City 130000 people
Shanwei Guangdong China City 160000 people
Jiazi Guangdong China City 120000 people
Lufeng Guangdong China City -
Pinghai Guangdong China City -
Haifeng Guangdong China City -
Huilai Guangdong China City -
Shalong Guangdong China City -
Liusha Guangdong China City 110000 people
Ni Kou Guangdong China City -
Pingshan Guangdong China City 110000 people
Hepo Guangdong China City 120000 people
Mianhu Guangdong China City -
Hongyang Guangdong China City -
Jieyang Guangdong China City -
Lantang Guangdong China City -
Zijin Guangdong China City -
Fengshun Guangdong China City -
Heyuan Guangdong China City 530000 people
Huacheng Guangdong China City -
Qiling Guangdong China City -
Xingcheng Guangdong China City 100000 people
Tuocheng Guangdong China City -
Laolong Guangdong China City -
Chuantang Guangdong China City -
Shizheng Guangdong China City -
Dazhe Guangdong China City -
Yangming Guangdong China City -
Yuanshan Guangdong China City -
Lishi Jiangxi China City -
Changning Jiangxi China City -
Chinglong Jiangxi China City -
Longnan Jiangxi China City -
Xinshan Jiangxi China City -
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people
San Nicolas Ilocos Philippines City 19000 people
Tuguegarao Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
Cabagan Cagayan Valley Philippines City 24000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Pratas Island 3 0
108 0
Laoag International LAO 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
Taggat 5 0
Vigan 4 Civ. Paved No 3400
Tuguegarao TUG 21 Civ. Paved No 5900
Cauayan CYZ 61 Civ. Paved No 5700
Palanan 50 Civ. Unpaved No 3200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Lufeng Terminal China
Huizhou Terminal CNHUI China
Shanwei CNSWE China
Lan Shui Terminal China
Pratas Island China
Quanzhou CNQZJ China
Dirique Inlet Philippines
Laoag PHLAO Philippines
Gan Bay Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Salomague Philippines
Pandan Philippines
Port San Esteban Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Port San Vicente Philippines
Palanan Philippines

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Longtan Long Jiang 1960
Shiliutan Longjiang He 1959
Wusongling Bwiling He 1958
Tangkeng Lian Jiang 1960
Baipenzhu Xizhi Jiang 1987
Nangao Lu He 1985
Hengjiang Liantian He 1971
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang -99
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang 1960
Xinxihe Trib. Rong Jiang 1958
Huangshandong Mapi He 1961
Yitang Wuhua He 1984
Qiji Trib. Dong Jiang -99
Xinfengjiang Xinfeng Jiang 1960
Heshui Trib. Mei Jiang -99
Meixi -99
Wengong Huangpi Shui 1959
Fengshuba Dong Jiang 1975
Fushi -99
Huangtian -99
Liheng Dong Jiang 1965
Longxing Tao Jiang 1974

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Jiesheng, China. This height is estimated for 21 Oct 2016 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.